Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers over Guangzhou on July 29, suppressing daytime heating below the typical July average high of 33°C. Subtropical moisture advection from the South China Sea and a nearby trough are driving these conditions, with ensemble forecasts converging on maxima of 29–32°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C outcomes, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks; updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月29日廣州最高溫度？
7月29日廣州最高溫度？
31°C 27%
30°C 24%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
12%
29°C
16%
30°C
24%
31°C
27%
32°C
18%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
2%
31°C 27%
30°C 24%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$22 交易量
1%
27°C
$17 交易量
8%
28°C
$0 交易量
12%
29°C
$0 交易量
16%
30°C
$0 交易量
24%
31°C
$0 交易量
27%
32°C
$0 交易量
18%
33°C
$0 交易量
12%
34°C
$15 交易量
2%
35°C或以上
$15 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers over Guangzhou on July 29, suppressing daytime heating below the typical July average high of 33°C. Subtropical moisture advection from the South China Sea and a nearby trough are driving these conditions, with ensemble forecasts converging on maxima of 29–32°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C outcomes, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks; updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ET
交易量
$69結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers over Guangzhou on July 29, suppressing daytime heating below the typical July average high of 33°C. Subtropical moisture advection from the South China Sea and a nearby trough are driving these conditions, with ensemble forecasts converging on maxima of 29–32°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C outcomes, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks; updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$69結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers over Guangzhou on July 29, suppressing daytime heating below the typical July average high of 33°C. Subtropical moisture advection from the South China Sea and a nearby trough are driving these conditions, with ensemble forecasts converging on maxima of 29–32°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C outcomes, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks; updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions