Trader consensus centers on 36–38°C for Chongqing’s July 9 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS that place the region under a strong subtropical high with limited cloud cover and light winds. High humidity (often >70 %) and the urban heat-island effect amplify daytime heating, while scattered monsoon thunderstorms could cap peaks or enhance them depending on timing and coverage. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and 850 hPa temperatures, keeping the 36–38°C outcomes tightly bunched; clearer skies or delayed rain would favor the upper end, whereas increased convective activity would favor 36°C or below. Historical July climatology supports this range, with daily maxima averaging near 33°C but frequently exceeding 36°C during high-pressure episodes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 9?
37°C 32%
38°C 25%
36°C 17%
39°C 14%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
17%
37°C
32%
38°C
25%
39°C
14%
40°C
4%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 32%
38°C 25%
36°C 17%
39°C 14%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
17%
37°C
32%
38°C
25%
39°C
14%
40°C
4%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on 36–38°C for Chongqing’s July 9 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS that place the region under a strong subtropical high with limited cloud cover and light winds. High humidity (often >70 %) and the urban heat-island effect amplify daytime heating, while scattered monsoon thunderstorms could cap peaks or enhance them depending on timing and coverage. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and 850 hPa temperatures, keeping the 36–38°C outcomes tightly bunched; clearer skies or delayed rain would favor the upper end, whereas increased convective activity would favor 36°C or below. Historical July climatology supports this range, with daily maxima averaging near 33°C but frequently exceeding 36°C during high-pressure episodes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions