Persistent heat under a building high-pressure dome over Texas supports mid-90s highs for Houston on July 6, consistent with July normals near 94°F at Houston Intercontinental. Recent model guidance and agency outlooks indicate isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could increase cloud cover and reduce peak insolation, favoring the market’s leading 92–95°F bins (collectively over 47% implied probability). High humidity will sustain elevated heat indices near 105°F, but steering patterns and moisture return keep storm timing and coverage uncertain, creating the tight spread across 90–97°F outcomes. Official National Weather Service and NOAA forecast updates over the next 24 hours will refine convective timing and any adjustments to maximum temperatures ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on July 6?
94-95°F 33%
92-93°F 33%
96-97°F 16%
90-91°F 6.9%
$15,324 交易量
$15,324 交易量
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
33%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 33%
92-93°F 33%
96-97°F 16%
90-91°F 6.9%
$15,324 交易量
$15,324 交易量
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
33%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent heat under a building high-pressure dome over Texas supports mid-90s highs for Houston on July 6, consistent with July normals near 94°F at Houston Intercontinental. Recent model guidance and agency outlooks indicate isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could increase cloud cover and reduce peak insolation, favoring the market’s leading 92–95°F bins (collectively over 47% implied probability). High humidity will sustain elevated heat indices near 105°F, but steering patterns and moisture return keep storm timing and coverage uncertain, creating the tight spread across 90–97°F outcomes. Official National Weather Service and NOAA forecast updates over the next 24 hours will refine convective timing and any adjustments to maximum temperatures ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions