Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a July 8 high near the 1991-2020 normal of 94°F for Houston, driven by a building heat dome and southerly flow under mostly sunny skies with only modest afternoon convection expected. Trader emphasis on the 94-95°F bin reflects this baseline, while the broad distribution across 92-97°F captures uncertainty from variable cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and steering patterns that can either suppress or allow brief spikes above normal. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with historical July variability where daily maxima rarely stray far from the 93°F seasonal average absent major frontal passages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on July 8?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 8?
94-95°F 40%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 13%
98-99°F 8.7%
最新
最新
2026-07-08
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
40%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 40%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 13%
98-99°F 8.7%
最新
最新
2026-07-08
85°F or below
$128 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$108 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$76 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$181 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$693 交易量
13%
94-95°F
$215 交易量
40%
96-97°F
$1,864 交易量
34%
98-99°F
$247 交易量
9%
100-101°F
$568 交易量
1%
102-103°F
$382 交易量
<1%
104°F or higher
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a July 8 high near the 1991-2020 normal of 94°F for Houston, driven by a building heat dome and southerly flow under mostly sunny skies with only modest afternoon convection expected. Trader emphasis on the 94-95°F bin reflects this baseline, while the broad distribution across 92-97°F captures uncertainty from variable cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and steering patterns that can either suppress or allow brief spikes above normal. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with historical July variability where daily maxima rarely stray far from the 93°F seasonal average absent major frontal passages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$4,489結束日期
2026-07-08市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a July 8 high near the 1991-2020 normal of 94°F for Houston, driven by a building heat dome and southerly flow under mostly sunny skies with only modest afternoon convection expected. Trader emphasis on the 94-95°F bin reflects this baseline, while the broad distribution across 92-97°F captures uncertainty from variable cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and steering patterns that can either suppress or allow brief spikes above normal. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with historical July variability where daily maxima rarely stray far from the 93°F seasonal average absent major frontal passages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,489結束日期
2026-07-08市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a July 8 high near the 1991-2020 normal of 94°F for Houston, driven by a building heat dome and southerly flow under mostly sunny skies with only modest afternoon convection expected. Trader emphasis on the 94-95°F bin reflects this baseline, while the broad distribution across 92-97°F captures uncertainty from variable cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and steering patterns that can either suppress or allow brief spikes above normal. Recent model runs show limited spread, consistent with historical July variability where daily maxima rarely stray far from the 93°F seasonal average absent major frontal passages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions