**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.** Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日吉隆坡的最高溫度？
7月31日吉隆坡的最高溫度？
33°C 53%
32°C 30%
34°C 17%
31°C 4%
最新
$16,278 交易量
最新
$16,278 交易量
2026-07-31
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
30%
33°C
53%
34°C
17%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 30%
34°C 17%
31°C 4%
最新
$16,278 交易量
最新
$16,278 交易量
2026-07-31
28°C或以下
$186 交易量
<1%
29°C
$763 交易量
1%
30°C
$5,673 交易量
1%
31°C
$1,410 交易量
4%
32°C
$573 交易量
30%
33°C
$878 交易量
53%
34°C
$713 交易量
17%
35°C
$5,042 交易量
1%
36°C
$516 交易量
1%
37°C
$137 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$388 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.**
Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$16,278結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.**
Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,278結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.** Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions