Recent Met Office guidance forecasts a 26°C maximum for London on July 31 under persistent high pressure that favors mostly settled, dry conditions with light winds and variable cloud. This setup limits strong daytime heating compared with the 33°C recorded on July 29, producing a gradual cooling trend through the final weekend of July. Ensemble model spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the narrow gap between 25°C and 26°C outcomes that currently dominate trader probabilities, while the small chance of slightly higher readings hinges on clearer skies or delayed marine air influence. Official observations from central London stations will determine the exact daily maximum used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日倫敦的最高溫度?
25°C 43%
26°C 23%
24°C 21%
23°C 8%
$12,856 交易量
$12,856 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
21%
25°C
43%
26°C
23%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 43%
26°C 23%
24°C 21%
23°C 8%
$12,856 交易量
$12,856 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
21%
25°C
43%
26°C
23%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance forecasts a 26°C maximum for London on July 31 under persistent high pressure that favors mostly settled, dry conditions with light winds and variable cloud. This setup limits strong daytime heating compared with the 33°C recorded on July 29, producing a gradual cooling trend through the final weekend of July. Ensemble model spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the narrow gap between 25°C and 26°C outcomes that currently dominate trader probabilities, while the small chance of slightly higher readings hinges on clearer skies or delayed marine air influence. Official observations from central London stations will determine the exact daily maximum used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions