Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service project Miami highs near 88–92°F on July 6 amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida summers—introduce the main uncertainty, as cloud cover and evaporative cooling can suppress peaks into the upper 80s while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence favor the low 90s. These conditions sit slightly above the 88–89°F July climatological average, with recent regional heat supporting the market’s tight clustering around 90–93°F outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations through July 5 evening will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on July 6?
90-91°F 47%
92-93°F 23%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 2.5%
$22,831 交易量
$22,831 交易量
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
47%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 47%
92-93°F 23%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 2.5%
$22,831 交易量
$22,831 交易量
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
47%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service project Miami highs near 88–92°F on July 6 amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida summers—introduce the main uncertainty, as cloud cover and evaporative cooling can suppress peaks into the upper 80s while clearer intervals or stronger subsidence favor the low 90s. These conditions sit slightly above the 88–89°F July climatological average, with recent regional heat supporting the market’s tight clustering around 90–93°F outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations through July 5 evening will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions