**Traders are positioning around 33–34°C as the most likely high for Panama City on July 29 because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover moderating daytime heating.** Historical July averages sit near 31–33°C, yet brief periods of reduced convection commonly allow peaks of 34–35°C when solar insolation increases. Recent AccuWeather monthly outlooks for the city show daily maxima spanning 31–35°C, reinforcing the narrow band currently favored by market-implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and afternoon thunderstorm activity limit extreme outliers, while any temporary clearing could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月29日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
33°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$22,356 交易量
$22,356 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$22,356 交易量
$22,356 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Traders are positioning around 33–34°C as the most likely high for Panama City on July 29 because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover moderating daytime heating.** Historical July averages sit near 31–33°C, yet brief periods of reduced convection commonly allow peaks of 34–35°C when solar insolation increases. Recent AccuWeather monthly outlooks for the city show daily maxima spanning 31–35°C, reinforcing the narrow band currently favored by market-implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and afternoon thunderstorm activity limit extreme outliers, while any temporary clearing could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions