Trader consensus on Polymarket shows 33–34°C as the most probable high for Panama City on July 30, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting model spread in short-range guidance. Typical wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone produce high humidity and afternoon convection that can cap daytime maxima or allow brief peaks near 33–34°C before thunderstorms develop. Recent ensemble runs indicate modest variability tied to exact timing of cloud cover and any embedded tropical waves, consistent with July climatology of 30–31°C averages. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama or global model outputs expected tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月30日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
34°C 42%
33°C 38%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
$10,053 交易量
$10,053 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
38%
34°C
42%
35°C
14%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 38%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
$10,053 交易量
$10,053 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
38%
34°C
42%
35°C
14%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 28, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on Polymarket shows 33–34°C as the most probable high for Panama City on July 30, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting model spread in short-range guidance. Typical wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone produce high humidity and afternoon convection that can cap daytime maxima or allow brief peaks near 33–34°C before thunderstorms develop. Recent ensemble runs indicate modest variability tied to exact timing of cloud cover and any embedded tropical waves, consistent with July climatology of 30–31°C averages. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama or global model outputs expected tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions