Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore westerly flow are anchoring San Francisco’s July 8 high near the seasonal median of 65–67 °F, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs favoring 66–69 °F. Modest ridging over the interior Southwest is allowing slight daytime warming, yet the coastal marine inversion and afternoon sea breeze continue to cap temperatures below 70 °F. Model spread remains modest—most solutions cluster within two degrees—leaving the 66–67 °F and 68–69 °F brackets as the dominant market-implied outcomes while lower and higher tails reflect residual forecast uncertainty ahead of final afternoon updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 8?
66-67°F 39%
68-69°F 26%
64-65°F 16%
70-71°F 8%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 39%
68-69°F 26%
64-65°F 16%
70-71°F 8%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore westerly flow are anchoring San Francisco’s July 8 high near the seasonal median of 65–67 °F, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs favoring 66–69 °F. Modest ridging over the interior Southwest is allowing slight daytime warming, yet the coastal marine inversion and afternoon sea breeze continue to cap temperatures below 70 °F. Model spread remains modest—most solutions cluster within two degrees—leaving the 66–67 °F and 68–69 °F brackets as the dominant market-implied outcomes while lower and higher tails reflect residual forecast uncertainty ahead of final afternoon updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions