Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, driven by typical early July subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 75%, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 32°C highs with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, calm conditions, but the current spread in ensemble predictions—reflecting uncertainty in steering winds and local urban heat effects—underpins the market's broad distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-range model runs and satellite observations of incoming moisture, with updates from regional forecasts expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9?
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 9%
最新
$10,171 交易量
最新
$10,171 交易量
2026-07-09
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 9%
最新
$10,171 交易量
最新
$10,171 交易量
2026-07-09
26°C or below
$350 交易量
<1%
27°C
$27 交易量
<1%
28°C
$129 交易量
1%
29°C
$346 交易量
1%
30°C
$171 交易量
9%
31°C
$90 交易量
29%
32°C
$5,073 交易量
36%
33°C
$3,296 交易量
18%
34°C
$298 交易量
8%
35°C
$241 交易量
2%
36°C or higher
$161 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, driven by typical early July subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 75%, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 32°C highs with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, calm conditions, but the current spread in ensemble predictions—reflecting uncertainty in steering winds and local urban heat effects—underpins the market's broad distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-range model runs and satellite observations of incoming moisture, with updates from regional forecasts expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$10,171結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, driven by typical early July subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 75%, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 32°C highs with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, calm conditions, but the current spread in ensemble predictions—reflecting uncertainty in steering winds and local urban heat effects—underpins the market's broad distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-range model runs and satellite observations of incoming moisture, with updates from regional forecasts expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,171結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, driven by typical early July subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 75%, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 32°C highs with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, calm conditions, but the current spread in ensemble predictions—reflecting uncertainty in steering winds and local urban heat effects—underpins the market's broad distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-range model runs and satellite observations of incoming moisture, with updates from regional forecasts expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions