Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Central Weather Administration show Taipei's June 27 maximum temperature hinging on a weak high-pressure ridge and variable monsoon moisture, with ensemble guidance clustering near 27–29 °C under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiating factors include afternoon convective cloud cover that could suppress insolation and cap readings below 28 °C, versus clearer conditions allowing urban heat-island amplification toward 30 °C or higher. Historical June climatology places average highs near 31 °C, yet recent model runs highlight elevated uncertainty from potential frontal passages or sea-breeze timing, keeping probabilities for the leading 27 °C outcome only modestly ahead of the 30 °C+ bucket. Updated model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the spread before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月27日臺北氣溫最高?
28°C 82.3%
29°C 32.6%
30°C or higher 1.6%
20°C or below <1%
$58,512 交易量
$58,512 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
82%
29°C
33%
30°C or higher
2%
28°C 82.3%
29°C 32.6%
30°C or higher 1.6%
20°C or below <1%
$58,512 交易量
$58,512 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
82%
29°C
33%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Central Weather Administration show Taipei's June 27 maximum temperature hinging on a weak high-pressure ridge and variable monsoon moisture, with ensemble guidance clustering near 27–29 °C under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiating factors include afternoon convective cloud cover that could suppress insolation and cap readings below 28 °C, versus clearer conditions allowing urban heat-island amplification toward 30 °C or higher. Historical June climatology places average highs near 31 °C, yet recent model runs highlight elevated uncertainty from potential frontal passages or sea-breeze timing, keeping probabilities for the leading 27 °C outcome only modestly ahead of the 30 °C+ bucket. Updated model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the spread before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions