Current short-range ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation from the adjacent waters limit extreme heating, producing tight model agreement and the near-even market split between 32°C (47.5%) and 33°C (46.5%). Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact breeze onset timing explain the narrow uncertainty between these outcomes, while historical August averages near 31°C and current seasonal norms support low odds for 34°C or higher. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月20日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 52%
32°C 40%
34°C 7%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
29°C or below
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
40%
33°C
52%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
32°C 40%
34°C 7%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
29°C or below
$146 交易量
1%
30°C
$265 交易量
<1%
31°C
$249 交易量
5%
32°C
$891 交易量
40%
33°C
$343 交易量
52%
34°C
$157 交易量
7%
35°C
$68 交易量
1%
36°C
$46 交易量
<1%
37°C
$46 交易量
<1%
38°C
$51 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$206 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation from the adjacent waters limit extreme heating, producing tight model agreement and the near-even market split between 32°C (47.5%) and 33°C (46.5%). Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact breeze onset timing explain the narrow uncertainty between these outcomes, while historical August averages near 31°C and current seasonal norms support low odds for 34°C or higher. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,470結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation from the adjacent waters limit extreme heating, producing tight model agreement and the near-even market split between 32°C (47.5%) and 33°C (46.5%). Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact breeze onset timing explain the narrow uncertainty between these outcomes, while historical August averages near 31°C and current seasonal norms support low odds for 34°C or higher. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,470結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, UK Met Office, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and typical sea-breeze moderation from the adjacent waters limit extreme heating, producing tight model agreement and the near-even market split between 32°C (47.5%) and 33°C (46.5%). Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact breeze onset timing explain the narrow uncertainty between these outcomes, while historical August averages near 31°C and current seasonal norms support low odds for 34°C or higher. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions