Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Time and Date place Tel Aviv's July 8 high near 29–31°C under typical midsummer subtropical high pressure, with strong solar heating offset by Mediterranean sea breezes and moderate westerly flow. This positions 30°C as the market favorite at 44% implied probability, followed by 31°C, aligning with climatological norms where July daytime maxima average 30–32°C without notable heatwave signals in current model runs. Recent short-range updates show little deviation from these values, keeping probabilities clustered around the 29–31°C range while limiting odds for extremes below 28°C or above 33°C. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea thermal contrasts ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 8?
30°C 53%
31°C 33%
29°C 11%
32°C 3.8%
$14,650 交易量
$14,650 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
11%
30°C
53%
31°C
33%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 53%
31°C 33%
29°C 11%
32°C 3.8%
$14,650 交易量
$14,650 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
11%
30°C
53%
31°C
33%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Time and Date place Tel Aviv's July 8 high near 29–31°C under typical midsummer subtropical high pressure, with strong solar heating offset by Mediterranean sea breezes and moderate westerly flow. This positions 30°C as the market favorite at 44% implied probability, followed by 31°C, aligning with climatological norms where July daytime maxima average 30–32°C without notable heatwave signals in current model runs. Recent short-range updates show little deviation from these values, keeping probabilities clustered around the 29–31°C range while limiting odds for extremes below 28°C or above 33°C. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea thermal contrasts ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions