Forecast models from sources like the BBC and timeanddate currently project a high of 37–38°C in Warsaw on June 28 under sunny or broken-cloud conditions with light southerly winds, supporting the near-even market split between 38°C and 39°C. A broader AccuWeather monthly outlook indicates potential peaks near 40°C amid an early-summer warm spell, while ensemble spread and local urban heat-island effects create the narrow uncertainty between these thresholds. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any revisions from European meteorological agencies that could shift the maximum by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月28日華沙的最高溫度?
38°C 43%
39°C 28%
37°C 19%
40°C 7.5%
$17,300 交易量
$17,300 交易量
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
19%
38°C
43%
39°C
28%
40°C
8%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 43%
39°C 28%
37°C 19%
40°C 7.5%
$17,300 交易量
$17,300 交易量
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
19%
38°C
43%
39°C
28%
40°C
8%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like the BBC and timeanddate currently project a high of 37–38°C in Warsaw on June 28 under sunny or broken-cloud conditions with light southerly winds, supporting the near-even market split between 38°C and 39°C. A broader AccuWeather monthly outlook indicates potential peaks near 40°C amid an early-summer warm spell, while ensemble spread and local urban heat-island effects create the narrow uncertainty between these thresholds. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any revisions from European meteorological agencies that could shift the maximum by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions