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icon for 霍爾本和聖潘克拉斯補選獲勝者
政治·英國

霍爾本和聖潘克拉斯補選獲勝者

icon for 霍爾本和聖潘克拉斯補選獲勝者
政治·英國

霍爾本和聖潘克拉斯補選獲勝者

Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%

佐治亞·古爾德 22%

亞當·哈里森 9%

Sarah Hayward 9%

Polymarket
最新

Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%

佐治亞·古爾德 22%

亞當·哈里森 9%

Sarah Hayward 9%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$118 交易量

24%

icon for 佐治亞·古爾德

佐治亞·古爾德

$60 交易量

22%

icon for 亞當·哈里森

亞當·哈里森

$60 交易量

9%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$60 交易量

9%

icon for Lorna Jane Russell

Lorna Jane Russell

$60 交易量

8%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$60 交易量

6%

icon for 哈姆扎·喬杜里

哈姆扎·喬杜里

$80 交易量

21%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$60 交易量

6%

icon for 詹姆斯·懷特

詹姆斯·懷特

$60 交易量

6%

icon for 基思·莫菲特

基思·莫菲特

$60 交易量

6%

icon for 理查德·奧爾謝夫斯基

理查德·奧爾謝夫斯基

$60 交易量

5%

icon for 大衛·羅伯茨

大衛·羅伯茨

$60 交易量

5%

icon for 奧利佛·庫珀

奧利佛·庫珀

$60 交易量

5%

icon for 崔西亞·萊曼

崔西亞·萊曼

$60 交易量

5%

icon for 大衛·斯坦塞爾

大衛·斯坦塞爾

$60 交易量

4%

icon for 莎拉·波欽

莎拉·波欽

$60 交易量

3%

icon for Jim Monahan

Jim Monahan

$60 交易量

3%

icon for 梅赫林·馬利克

梅赫林·馬利克

$60 交易量

25%

icon for 查理·克林頓

查理·克林頓

$60 交易量

1%

icon for 扎克·波蘭斯基

扎克·波蘭斯基

$604 交易量

51%

icon for Siân Berry

Siân Berry

$47 交易量

28%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$60 交易量

29%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election whose timing remains unclear pending the writ. With Labour’s candidate selection process only just opening and no nominees yet confirmed, trader pricing on Polymarket fragments across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, independents, and others. Local results showing Green strength in the 2026 Camden elections and the 18.9% independent share from 2024 keep multiple outcomes competitive. The absence of a confirmed field, the constituency’s progressive profile, and the risk of vote splitting among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities until nominations close and clearer signals emerge on frontrunners and turnout dynamics.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
交易量
$1,930
結束日期
2027-07-01
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election whose timing remains unclear pending the writ. With Labour’s candidate selection process only just opening and no nominees yet confirmed, trader pricing on Polymarket fragments across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, independents, and others. Local results showing Green strength in the 2026 Camden elections and the 18.9% independent share from 2024 keep multiple outcomes competitive. The absence of a confirmed field, the constituency’s progressive profile, and the risk of vote splitting among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities until nominations close and clearer signals emerge on frontrunners and turnout dynamics.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
交易量
$1,930
結束日期
2027-07-01
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"霍爾本和聖潘克拉斯補選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "扎克·波蘭斯基" at 51%, followed by "Gio Spinella" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"霍爾本和聖潘克拉斯補選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "霍爾本和聖潘克拉斯補選獲勝者," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "霍爾本和聖潘克拉斯補選獲勝者" is "扎克·波蘭斯基" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gio Spinella" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "霍爾本和聖潘克拉斯補選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.