Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet’s relationship has generated steady insider speculation about future steps, yet the 63.5% market-implied probability for “No” on a 2026 engagement reflects the absence of any public confirmation or visible milestones after three years together. Reports from early 2026, including sources cited by Us Weekly, noted private discussions about marriage and children, with Jenner reportedly joking that Chalamet is “already her husband,” while the pair appeared together at events such as the BAFTAs. Traders appear to discount unverified tabloid claims in favor of the couple’s established pattern of keeping personal matters private and avoiding formal announcements. With mid-year approaching and no ring, proposal, or joint statement, the market consensus favors the status quo unless confirmed developments surface before December.