Lai Ching-te’s fixed four-year term, which runs through May 2028 following his May 2024 inauguration, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office past December 2026. The Legislative Yuan’s May 2026 impeachment vote fell well short of the required two-thirds supermajority, and no subsequent recall or constitutional mechanism has gained traction amid divided government. Recent public schedule items, including September 2026 forums and diplomatic meetings, confirm ongoing active leadership without interruption. While a sudden health crisis, unforeseen scandal, or renewed legislative supermajority could theoretically trigger resignation or removal, these remain low-probability events under current institutional rules and political arithmetic.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
4% 機率
$106,007 交易量
$106,007 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 機率
$106,007 交易量
$106,007 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lai Ching-te’s fixed four-year term, which runs through May 2028 following his May 2024 inauguration, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office past December 2026. The Legislative Yuan’s May 2026 impeachment vote fell well short of the required two-thirds supermajority, and no subsequent recall or constitutional mechanism has gained traction amid divided government. Recent public schedule items, including September 2026 forums and diplomatic meetings, confirm ongoing active leadership without interruption. While a sudden health crisis, unforeseen scandal, or renewed legislative supermajority could theoretically trigger resignation or removal, these remain low-probability events under current institutional rules and political arithmetic.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
交易量
$106,007結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lai Ching-te’s fixed four-year term, which runs through May 2028 following his May 2024 inauguration, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office past December 2026. The Legislative Yuan’s May 2026 impeachment vote fell well short of the required two-thirds supermajority, and no subsequent recall or constitutional mechanism has gained traction amid divided government. Recent public schedule items, including September 2026 forums and diplomatic meetings, confirm ongoing active leadership without interruption. While a sudden health crisis, unforeseen scandal, or renewed legislative supermajority could theoretically trigger resignation or removal, these remain low-probability events under current institutional rules and political arithmetic.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$106,007結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETLai Ching-te’s fixed four-year term, which runs through May 2028 following his May 2024 inauguration, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office past December 2026. The Legislative Yuan’s May 2026 impeachment vote fell well short of the required two-thirds supermajority, and no subsequent recall or constitutional mechanism has gained traction amid divided government. Recent public schedule items, including September 2026 forums and diplomatic meetings, confirm ongoing active leadership without interruption. While a sudden health crisis, unforeseen scandal, or renewed legislative supermajority could theoretically trigger resignation or removal, these remain low-probability events under current institutional rules and political arithmetic.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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