Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan hold only around 62 seats and thus cannot reach the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te. The final legislative vote scheduled for May 19 is therefore expected to fail, leaving no pathway for formal impeachment by the June 30 deadline. Recent hearings have advanced the process on a symbolic basis but produced no shift in seat counts or cross-party support. Even if the motion cleared the legislature, referral to the Constitutional Court would demand an additional two-thirds judicial majority and sufficient sitting justices, steps that cannot realistically conclude before the cutoff. Trader consensus at 98 percent reflects these entrenched procedural barriers, though an unexpected wave of defections or last-minute court maneuvering could still alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$618,958 交易量
$618,958 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$618,958 交易量
$618,958 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan hold only around 62 seats and thus cannot reach the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te. The final legislative vote scheduled for May 19 is therefore expected to fail, leaving no pathway for formal impeachment by the June 30 deadline. Recent hearings have advanced the process on a symbolic basis but produced no shift in seat counts or cross-party support. Even if the motion cleared the legislature, referral to the Constitutional Court would demand an additional two-thirds judicial majority and sufficient sitting justices, steps that cannot realistically conclude before the cutoff. Trader consensus at 98 percent reflects these entrenched procedural barriers, though an unexpected wave of defections or last-minute court maneuvering could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
交易量
$618,958結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan hold only around 62 seats and thus cannot reach the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te. The final legislative vote scheduled for May 19 is therefore expected to fail, leaving no pathway for formal impeachment by the June 30 deadline. Recent hearings have advanced the process on a symbolic basis but produced no shift in seat counts or cross-party support. Even if the motion cleared the legislature, referral to the Constitutional Court would demand an additional two-thirds judicial majority and sufficient sitting justices, steps that cannot realistically conclude before the cutoff. Trader consensus at 98 percent reflects these entrenched procedural barriers, though an unexpected wave of defections or last-minute court maneuvering could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$618,958結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan hold only around 62 seats and thus cannot reach the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te. The final legislative vote scheduled for May 19 is therefore expected to fail, leaving no pathway for formal impeachment by the June 30 deadline. Recent hearings have advanced the process on a symbolic basis but produced no shift in seat counts or cross-party support. Even if the motion cleared the legislature, referral to the Constitutional Court would demand an additional two-thirds judicial majority and sufficient sitting justices, steps that cannot realistically conclude before the cutoff. Trader consensus at 98 percent reflects these entrenched procedural barriers, though an unexpected wave of defections or last-minute court maneuvering could still alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions