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icon for Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?

Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?

icon for Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?

Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?

12月 31

12月 31

6% 機率
Polymarket

$19,133 交易量

6% 機率
Polymarket

$19,133 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Lee Jae-myung has served as South Korea’s president since his June 2025 victory in the snap election that followed Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal. The Democratic Party maintains a supermajority in the National Assembly from the prior general election, a structural barrier that makes the two-thirds vote required for impeachment proceedings improbable in the current term. A June 2026 opposition petition seeking his removal over ongoing criminal cases quickly gathered signatures but advanced no further, as expected given the ruling party’s control of the legislative agenda and committee process. Lee has emphasized pragmatic, centrist policies and national unity since taking office, with no major scandals or defections reported that would erode his party’s cohesion or create cross-aisle momentum. His legal cases remain largely paused under presidential immunity protections, and the next National Assembly election lies in 2028—well after the 2027 horizon. Traders therefore price a very low probability of successful impeachment before then, consistent with the party arithmetic and absence of recent catalysts capable of shifting legislative majorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$19,133
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Lee Jae-myung has served as South Korea’s president since his June 2025 victory in the snap election that followed Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal. The Democratic Party maintains a supermajority in the National Assembly from the prior general election, a structural barrier that makes the two-thirds vote required for impeachment proceedings improbable in the current term. A June 2026 opposition petition seeking his removal over ongoing criminal cases quickly gathered signatures but advanced no further, as expected given the ruling party’s control of the legislative agenda and committee process. Lee has emphasized pragmatic, centrist policies and national unity since taking office, with no major scandals or defections reported that would erode his party’s cohesion or create cross-aisle momentum. His legal cases remain largely paused under presidential immunity protections, and the next National Assembly election lies in 2028—well after the 2027 horizon. Traders therefore price a very low probability of successful impeachment before then, consistent with the party arithmetic and absence of recent catalysts capable of shifting legislative majorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$19,133
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "李在明會在2027年前被彈劾嗎?" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?" has generated $19.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?" is "李在明會在2027年前被彈劾嗎?" at just 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.