**President Lee Jae-myung’s position remains secure through 2026 due to the Democratic Party’s majority in the National Assembly, which controls the initial impeachment vote.** Any motion requires a majority there before advancing to the Constitutional Court, and the DP’s supermajority—secured in the 2024 legislative elections and reinforced by strong performance in most 2026 local races—makes passage improbable absent a dramatic shift in seats or cross-party defections. A June 2026 National Assembly petition gathered over 100,000 signatures citing Lee’s ongoing criminal cases, but it stalled at the committee stage and showed no path to plenary action. Lee’s approval ratings, which hovered in the low-to-mid 60s for much of his first year, have moderated into the low-to-mid 50s amid economic pressures and local-election controversies (including ballot shortages), yet these levels have not generated sustained public or legislative pressure for removal. His fixed five-year term, legal protections against prosecution while in office (except for insurrection or treason), and lack of major new scandals or widespread protests further anchor the market’s strong consensus against impeachment before 2027.