**President Lee Jae-myung’s position remains secure through 2026 due to the Democratic Party’s majority in the National Assembly, which controls the initial impeachment vote.** Any motion requires a majority there before advancing to the Constitutional Court, and the DP’s supermajority—secured in the 2024 legislative elections and reinforced by strong performance in most 2026 local races—makes passage improbable absent a dramatic shift in seats or cross-party defections. A June 2026 National Assembly petition gathered over 100,000 signatures citing Lee’s ongoing criminal cases, but it stalled at the committee stage and showed no path to plenary action. Lee’s approval ratings, which hovered in the low-to-mid 60s for much of his first year, have moderated into the low-to-mid 50s amid economic pressures and local-election controversies (including ballot shortages), yet these levels have not generated sustained public or legislative pressure for removal. His fixed five-year term, legal protections against prosecution while in office (except for insurrection or treason), and lack of major new scandals or widespread protests further anchor the market’s strong consensus against impeachment before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$19,133 交易量
$19,133 交易量
是
$19,133 交易量
$19,133 交易量
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市場開放時間: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung’s position remains secure through 2026 due to the Democratic Party’s majority in the National Assembly, which controls the initial impeachment vote.** Any motion requires a majority there before advancing to the Constitutional Court, and the DP’s supermajority—secured in the 2024 legislative elections and reinforced by strong performance in most 2026 local races—makes passage improbable absent a dramatic shift in seats or cross-party defections. A June 2026 National Assembly petition gathered over 100,000 signatures citing Lee’s ongoing criminal cases, but it stalled at the committee stage and showed no path to plenary action. Lee’s approval ratings, which hovered in the low-to-mid 60s for much of his first year, have moderated into the low-to-mid 50s amid economic pressures and local-election controversies (including ballot shortages), yet these levels have not generated sustained public or legislative pressure for removal. His fixed five-year term, legal protections against prosecution while in office (except for insurrection or treason), and lack of major new scandals or widespread protests further anchor the market’s strong consensus against impeachment before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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