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icon for 朝鮮和韓國會在…前進行直接會談嗎?

朝鮮和韓國會在…前進行直接會談嗎?

icon for 朝鮮和韓國會在…前進行直接會談嗎?

朝鮮和韓國會在…前進行直接會談嗎?

$119,139 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$119,139 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$35,387 交易量

19%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung has prioritized inter-Korean engagement since taking office, proposing direct talks on formally ending the Korean War, halting North Korea’s nuclear advances, and establishing a peace regime, while coordinating with U.S. efforts to revive diplomacy. North Korea has shown no interest in resuming official dialogue, continuing ballistic missile launches—including two short-range tests on September 20, 2026—and insisting on the removal of what it calls hostile U.S. and allied policies as a precondition. Recent U.S. moves, such as scaled-back joint exercises and President Trump’s stated interest in a Kim Jong-un meeting, have not yet prompted Pyongyang to respond to Seoul’s overtures. Upcoming events like the U.N. General Assembly and U.S.-China summit could influence momentum, though North Korea’s military posture and rejection of preconditions remain the main barriers to near-term bilateral talks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$119,139
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung has prioritized inter-Korean engagement since taking office, proposing direct talks on formally ending the Korean War, halting North Korea’s nuclear advances, and establishing a peace regime, while coordinating with U.S. efforts to revive diplomacy. North Korea has shown no interest in resuming official dialogue, continuing ballistic missile launches—including two short-range tests on September 20, 2026—and insisting on the removal of what it calls hostile U.S. and allied policies as a precondition. Recent U.S. moves, such as scaled-back joint exercises and President Trump’s stated interest in a Kim Jong-un meeting, have not yet prompted Pyongyang to respond to Seoul’s overtures. Upcoming events like the U.N. General Assembly and U.S.-China summit could influence momentum, though North Korea’s military posture and rejection of preconditions remain the main barriers to near-term bilateral talks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$119,139
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"朝鮮和韓國會在…前進行直接會談嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 19%, followed by "6月30日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "朝鮮和韓國會在…前進行直接會談嗎?" has generated $119.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "朝鮮和韓國會在…前進行直接會談嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "朝鮮和韓國會在…前進行直接會談嗎?" is "12月31日" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6月30日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "朝鮮和韓國會在…前進行直接會談嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.