South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Centre following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. An appeals court later raised a related obstruction sentence to seven years, reinforcing the legal barriers to early release. Ongoing appeals and the gravity of the charges have produced no successful challenges that would trigger release before 2027, aligning with the 84 percent trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Scheduled further hearings and potential higher-court reviews introduce limited uncertainty, yet the confirmed convictions and institutional procedures continue to anchor expectations of prolonged custody.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$11,301 交易量
$11,301 交易量
是
$11,301 交易量
$11,301 交易量
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Centre following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. An appeals court later raised a related obstruction sentence to seven years, reinforcing the legal barriers to early release. Ongoing appeals and the gravity of the charges have produced no successful challenges that would trigger release before 2027, aligning with the 84 percent trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Scheduled further hearings and potential higher-court reviews introduce limited uncertainty, yet the confirmed convictions and institutional procedures continue to anchor expectations of prolonged custody.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions