Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley’s near-even odds reflect their joint selection as top bookrunners for Anthropic’s expected October 2026 IPO, with the decisive edge hinging on which firm secures the “lead left” position on the prospectus. Both banks dominate tech equity capital markets, maintain deep AI-sector relationships, and demonstrated allocation strength on recent mega-deals such as SpaceX; JPMorgan’s distant 5% odds stem from its secondary role. Separate deal teams at each firm are managing conflicts arising from concurrent OpenAI preparations, while confidential S-1 filings and ongoing investor outreach keep positioning fluid ahead of final syndicate decisions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Goldman Sachs 48%
Morgan Stanley 48%
JPMorgan 4.6%
Bank of America <1%
$46,868 交易量
$46,868 交易量
Morgan Stanley
48%
Goldman Sachs
48%
JPMorgan
5%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 48%
Morgan Stanley 48%
JPMorgan 4.6%
Bank of America <1%
$46,868 交易量
$46,868 交易量
Morgan Stanley
48%
Goldman Sachs
48%
JPMorgan
5%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley’s near-even odds reflect their joint selection as top bookrunners for Anthropic’s expected October 2026 IPO, with the decisive edge hinging on which firm secures the “lead left” position on the prospectus. Both banks dominate tech equity capital markets, maintain deep AI-sector relationships, and demonstrated allocation strength on recent mega-deals such as SpaceX; JPMorgan’s distant 5% odds stem from its secondary role. Separate deal teams at each firm are managing conflicts arising from concurrent OpenAI preparations, while confidential S-1 filings and ongoing investor outreach keep positioning fluid ahead of final syndicate decisions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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