**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a Saturday, October 3 low in Dallas in the mid-to-upper 60s, shaping trader positioning around the 64–77°F bins.** Persistent showers and thunderstorms through Friday night, followed by northerly winds and extensive cloud cover, are limiting overnight radiative cooling while preventing a sharp drop. Current runs show overnight lows near 65–69°F under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, consistent with the post-frontal but still mild early-October pattern. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early October, when average lows hover around 63–64°F, but the ongoing moisture and wind keep readings from falling toward the lower bins. The 78°F-or-higher outcome remains priced notably higher amid residual model spread and the possibility of slower clearing, yet the weight of official guidance and recent model runs favors the clustered mid-60s to mid-70s ranges. Updated NWS briefings and morning model cycles on October 2 will provide the next key data points for resolution.