Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low near 80°F under mostly clear skies, aligning with trader emphasis on the 80-81°F bin at 51.5% implied probability. Subtropical humidity and urban heat retention in South Florida limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to drier climates; recent days have featured above-average lows around 80-82°F amid persistent high pressure. Model consensus from NOAA guidance shows limited variability, with steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures maintaining warm nocturnal conditions through the period. Updated observations tonight will refine the final daily minimum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日邁阿密的最低溫度?
80-81°F 53%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 14%
74-75°F 2.6%
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
53%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 53%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 14%
74-75°F 2.6%
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
53%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low near 80°F under mostly clear skies, aligning with trader emphasis on the 80-81°F bin at 51.5% implied probability. Subtropical humidity and urban heat retention in South Florida limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to drier climates; recent days have featured above-average lows around 80-82°F amid persistent high pressure. Model consensus from NOAA guidance shows limited variability, with steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures maintaining warm nocturnal conditions through the period. Updated observations tonight will refine the final daily minimum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions