Current National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 97°F in Miami on August 19 under sunny skies and low relative humidity, driving the 53.5% market-implied probability for the 96-97°F range. Persistent dry air and minimal cloud cover are maximizing solar heating during peak afternoon hours, consistent with recent record highs of 96°F and ongoing heat advisories with indices near 110. This aligns with climatological norms around 91°F but exceeds them due to the unseasonably dry pattern suppressing convection. Traders are weighting official model consensus heavily, with any late shifts in steering flow or moisture return potentially altering outcomes ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日邁阿密的最高溫度?
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 28%
98-99°F 18%
100-101°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 28%
98-99°F 18%
100-101°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 97°F in Miami on August 19 under sunny skies and low relative humidity, driving the 53.5% market-implied probability for the 96-97°F range. Persistent dry air and minimal cloud cover are maximizing solar heating during peak afternoon hours, consistent with recent record highs of 96°F and ongoing heat advisories with indices near 110. This aligns with climatological norms around 91°F but exceeds them due to the unseasonably dry pattern suppressing convection. Traders are weighting official model consensus heavily, with any late shifts in steering flow or moisture return potentially altering outcomes ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions