Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
22°C 55%
23°C 34%
21°C 10%
24°C 4.7%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
10%
22°C
55%
23°C
34%
24°C
5%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 55%
23°C 34%
21°C 10%
24°C 4.7%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
17°C or below
$221 交易量
<1%
18°C
$259 交易量
<1%
19°C
$379 交易量
3%
20°C
$231 交易量
1%
21°C
$291 交易量
10%
22°C
$1,783 交易量
55%
23°C
$308 交易量
34%
24°C
$496 交易量
5%
25°C
$238 交易量
<1%
26°C
$301 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$185 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,694結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,694結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETShort-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions