Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 5 indicate overnight lows near 27°C under typical early-July humidity and light winds, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minima and the agency’s normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader dispersion across 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, where increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C below guidance, while clearer skies would favor the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus shows limited spread, but monsoon trough influences and urban heat-island effects introduce modest variability ahead of the next forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 5?
27°C 49%
26°C 22%
28°C 14%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
22%
27°C
49%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
26°C 22%
28°C 14%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
22°C or below
$49 交易量
<1%
23°C
$439 交易量
<1%
24°C
$453 交易量
4%
25°C
$41 交易量
9%
26°C
$1,354 交易量
22%
27°C
$2,327 交易量
49%
28°C
$69 交易量
14%
29°C
$72 交易量
3%
30°C
$44 交易量
1%
31°C
$242 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$49 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 5 indicate overnight lows near 27°C under typical early-July humidity and light winds, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minima and the agency’s normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader dispersion across 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, where increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C below guidance, while clearer skies would favor the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus shows limited spread, but monsoon trough influences and urban heat-island effects introduce modest variability ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,138結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 5 indicate overnight lows near 27°C under typical early-July humidity and light winds, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minima and the agency’s normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader dispersion across 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, where increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C below guidance, while clearer skies would favor the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus shows limited spread, but monsoon trough influences and urban heat-island effects introduce modest variability ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,138結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 5 indicate overnight lows near 27°C under typical early-July humidity and light winds, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minima and the agency’s normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader dispersion across 25–27°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling, where increased cloud cover or scattered showers could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C below guidance, while clearer skies would favor the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus shows limited spread, but monsoon trough influences and urban heat-island effects introduce modest variability ahead of the next forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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