Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 3?
31°C 25%
32°C 25%
33°C 13%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-03
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
25%
33°C
13%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 25%
32°C 25%
33°C 13%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-03
25°C or below
$283 交易量
<1%
26°C
$32 交易量
<1%
27°C
$28 交易量
2%
28°C
$755 交易量
4%
29°C
$3 交易量
7%
30°C
$11 交易量
11%
31°C
$4 交易量
25%
32°C
$22 交易量
25%
33°C
$75 交易量
13%
34°C
$37 交易量
9%
35°C or higher
$7 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,258結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,258結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions