Recent forecast models for Cape Town point to typical mid-winter conditions on July 3, with daily highs most likely between 14–17°C as a series of cold fronts and a cut-off low sustain cooler-than-average air masses over the Western Cape. This aligns with climatological July averages near 15–17°C and explains the market’s concentration of probability around 15–16°C outcomes. Trader dispersion across 13–19°C brackets reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction for the region’s variable steering patterns and orographic influences from Table Mountain, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten these implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 3?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 3?
16°C 42%
15°C 22%
14°C 11%
17°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-03
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
11%
15°C
22%
16°C
42%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 42%
15°C 22%
14°C 11%
17°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-03
9°C or below
$41 交易量
1%
10°C
$71 交易量
1%
11°C
$21 交易量
1%
12°C
$15 交易量
1%
13°C
$76 交易量
5%
14°C
$108 交易量
11%
15°C
$95 交易量
22%
16°C
$3,830 交易量
42%
17°C
$76 交易量
9%
18°C
$83 交易量
2%
19°C or higher
$81 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Cape Town point to typical mid-winter conditions on July 3, with daily highs most likely between 14–17°C as a series of cold fronts and a cut-off low sustain cooler-than-average air masses over the Western Cape. This aligns with climatological July averages near 15–17°C and explains the market’s concentration of probability around 15–16°C outcomes. Trader dispersion across 13–19°C brackets reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction for the region’s variable steering patterns and orographic influences from Table Mountain, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$4,461結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Cape Town point to typical mid-winter conditions on July 3, with daily highs most likely between 14–17°C as a series of cold fronts and a cut-off low sustain cooler-than-average air masses over the Western Cape. This aligns with climatological July averages near 15–17°C and explains the market’s concentration of probability around 15–16°C outcomes. Trader dispersion across 13–19°C brackets reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction for the region’s variable steering patterns and orographic influences from Table Mountain, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,461結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent forecast models for Cape Town point to typical mid-winter conditions on July 3, with daily highs most likely between 14–17°C as a series of cold fronts and a cut-off low sustain cooler-than-average air masses over the Western Cape. This aligns with climatological July averages near 15–17°C and explains the market’s concentration of probability around 15–16°C outcomes. Trader dispersion across 13–19°C brackets reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction for the region’s variable steering patterns and orographic influences from Table Mountain, with resolution depending on the final 24-hour maximum reported by official stations. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten these implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions