Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月29日東京的最低溫度？
6月29日東京的最低溫度？
21°C 57%
20°C 37%
22°C 11.0%
19°C 3.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-29
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
37%
21°C
57%
22°C
8%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
21°C 57%
20°C 37%
22°C 11.0%
19°C 3.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-29
15°C或以下
$20 交易量
<1%
16°C
$42 交易量
<1%
17°C
$182 交易量
<1%
18°C
$114 交易量
<1%
19°C
$291 交易量
4%
20°C
$166 交易量
37%
21°C
$184 交易量
57%
22°C
$92 交易量
8%
23°C
$670 交易量
<1%
24°C
$448 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$501 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,709結束日期
2026-06-29市場開放時間
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,709結束日期
2026-06-29市場開放時間
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions