Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections while Decision Desk HQ lists it Lean Democratic. The even partisan voter index and narrow 2024 presidential margin have drawn heavy outside spending and positioned the seat as a key battleground for House control. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett faces Democrat William Lawrence, who won his party's August 4 primary after a surge by progressive organizers. Recent polling shows the general election contest remaining tight, with trader consensus reflecting the district's swing character, Barrett's incumbency, and Lawrence's activist profile as the primary variables shaping implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,409 交易量
$17,409 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
61%
共和黨
38%
$17,409 交易量
$17,409 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$11,856 交易量
61%
共和黨
$5,553 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections while Decision Desk HQ lists it Lean Democratic. The even partisan voter index and narrow 2024 presidential margin have drawn heavy outside spending and positioned the seat as a key battleground for House control. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett faces Democrat William Lawrence, who won his party's August 4 primary after a surge by progressive organizers. Recent polling shows the general election contest remaining tight, with trader consensus reflecting the district's swing character, Barrett's incumbency, and Lawrence's activist profile as the primary variables shaping implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$17,409結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections while Decision Desk HQ lists it Lean Democratic. The even partisan voter index and narrow 2024 presidential margin have drawn heavy outside spending and positioned the seat as a key battleground for House control. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett faces Democrat William Lawrence, who won his party's August 4 primary after a surge by progressive organizers. Recent polling shows the general election contest remaining tight, with trader consensus reflecting the district's swing character, Barrett's incumbency, and Lawrence's activist profile as the primary variables shaping implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,409結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections while Decision Desk HQ lists it Lean Democratic. The even partisan voter index and narrow 2024 presidential margin have drawn heavy outside spending and positioned the seat as a key battleground for House control. Incumbent Republican Tom Barrett faces Democrat William Lawrence, who won his party's August 4 primary after a surge by progressive organizers. Recent polling shows the general election contest remaining tight, with trader consensus reflecting the district's swing character, Barrett's incumbency, and Lawrence's activist profile as the primary variables shaping implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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