Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 10月底AI Agent Lab排名第三？
科技·AI

10月底AI Agent Lab排名第三？

icon for 10月底AI Agent Lab排名第三？
科技·AI

10月底AI Agent Lab排名第三？

9月 30

11月 1

12月 1

9月 30

11月 1

12月 1

Moonshot 48%

SpaceXAI 10.7%

OpenAI 9%

Google 6.6%

Polymarket

$24,319 交易量

Moonshot 48%

SpaceXAI 10.7%

OpenAI 9%

Google 6.6%

Polymarket

$24,319 交易量

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$10,587 交易量

48%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$2,324 交易量

11%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$6,025 交易量

9%

icon for Google

Google

$295 交易量

7%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$454 交易量

5%

icon for 微軟

微軟

$257 交易量

4%

icon for 阿里巴巴

阿里巴巴

$669 交易量

4%

icon for 小米

小米

$262 交易量

5%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$1,067 交易量

3%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$342 交易量

1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$234 交易量

1%

icon for 百度

百度

$229 交易量

1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$229 交易量

1%

icon for 英偉達

英偉達

$189 交易量

1%

icon for 亞馬遜

亞馬遜

$206 交易量

1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$234 交易量

1%

icon for 美團

美團

$229 交易量

1%

icon for 字節跳動

字節跳動

$488 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Intense competition among frontier AI labs has fragmented trader sentiment on the third-best AI agent lab by late October, with no single contender pulling ahead on agentic benchmarks for tool use, multi-step planning, and autonomous workflows. Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1 updates emphasize coordinated agent fleets and internal R&D automation, while Moonshot's Kimi K3 release highlights strong open-weight performance with agent swarm capabilities and competitive scores on terminal and browsing evals. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and Astra models show strength in cybersecurity tasks and reasoning, yet rapid iteration across labs like Google DeepMind keeps outcomes fluid. The market's tight probabilities reflect this volatility, where one strong benchmark result or feature release could shift rankings before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$24,319
結束日期
2026-11-01
市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Intense competition among frontier AI labs has fragmented trader sentiment on the third-best AI agent lab by late October, with no single contender pulling ahead on agentic benchmarks for tool use, multi-step planning, and autonomous workflows. Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1 updates emphasize coordinated agent fleets and internal R&D automation, while Moonshot's Kimi K3 release highlights strong open-weight performance with agent swarm capabilities and competitive scores on terminal and browsing evals. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and Astra models show strength in cybersecurity tasks and reasoning, yet rapid iteration across labs like Google DeepMind keeps outcomes fluid. The market's tight probabilities reflect this volatility, where one strong benchmark result or feature release could shift rankings before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$24,319
結束日期
2026-11-01
市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

相關

icon for 到2026年10月底，OpenAI會成為第二好的AI代理實驗室嗎？

到2026年10月底，OpenAI會成為第二好的AI代理實驗室嗎？

83%
是
icon for Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?

88%
icon for 到2026年11月底，Moonshot會成為第三好的AI智能代理實驗室嗎？

到2026年11月底，Moonshot會成為第三好的AI智能代理實驗室嗎？

38%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"10月底AI Agent Lab排名第三？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Moonshot" at 48%, followed by "SpaceXAI" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "10月底AI Agent Lab排名第三？" has generated $24.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "10月底AI Agent Lab排名第三？," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "10月底AI Agent Lab排名第三？" is "Moonshot" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SpaceXAI" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "10月底AI Agent Lab排名第三？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.