The Trump administration has expanded a policy of acquiring direct equity stakes in companies viewed as critical to national security and supply chains, moving beyond grants or loans under the CHIPS Act and related programs. Following the Commerce Department's 10% stake in Intel in 2025, similar positions have been taken or agreed in firms such as USA Rare Earth, MP Materials, and U.S. Steel. This approach has set a precedent that traders interpret as likely to extend to additional semiconductor, quantum computing, and defense contractors before year-end. Polymarket pricing reflects elevated implied probabilities for GlobalFoundries, D-Wave, and Rigetti while assigning lower chances to larger names like Nvidia or Lockheed Martin, consistent with the administration's focus on targeted strategic sectors rather than broad interventions. No major legislative changes or new confirmation votes are scheduled that would immediately alter the framework.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$169,995 交易量
2026-12-31
格羅方德
86%
D-Wave
77%
Rigetti
76%
Unusual Machines
49%
IonQ
22%
OpenAI
24%
洛克希德馬丁
19%
Anduril
19%
輝達
16%
Anthropic
16%
台積電
13%
SpaceX
12%
Palantir
11%
波音
10%
自由港邁克墨倫
9%
禮來
8%
美光
7%
輝瑞
7%
三星電子
5%
TikTok 美國 / 字節跳動
3%
$169,995 交易量
格羅方德
$6,177 交易量
86%
D-Wave
$3,814 交易量
77%
Rigetti
$24,695 交易量
76%
Unusual Machines
$3 交易量
49%
IonQ
$2,427 交易量
22%
OpenAI
$10,165 交易量
24%
洛克希德馬丁
$2,096 交易量
19%
Anduril
$42,343 交易量
19%
輝達
$15,707 交易量
16%
Anthropic
$5,688 交易量
16%
台積電
$14,203 交易量
13%
SpaceX
$18 交易量
12%
Palantir
$3,297 交易量
11%
波音
$9,815 交易量
10%
自由港邁克墨倫
$2,865 交易量
9%
禮來
$2,888 交易量
8%
美光
$1,532 交易量
7%
輝瑞
$6,174 交易量
7%
三星電子
$10,118 交易量
5%
TikTok 美國 / 字節跳動
$5,971 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has expanded a policy of acquiring direct equity stakes in companies viewed as critical to national security and supply chains, moving beyond grants or loans under the CHIPS Act and related programs. Following the Commerce Department's 10% stake in Intel in 2025, similar positions have been taken or agreed in firms such as USA Rare Earth, MP Materials, and U.S. Steel. This approach has set a precedent that traders interpret as likely to extend to additional semiconductor, quantum computing, and defense contractors before year-end. Polymarket pricing reflects elevated implied probabilities for GlobalFoundries, D-Wave, and Rigetti while assigning lower chances to larger names like Nvidia or Lockheed Martin, consistent with the administration's focus on targeted strategic sectors rather than broad interventions. No major legislative changes or new confirmation votes are scheduled that would immediately alter the framework.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
交易量
$169,995結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has expanded a policy of acquiring direct equity stakes in companies viewed as critical to national security and supply chains, moving beyond grants or loans under the CHIPS Act and related programs. Following the Commerce Department's 10% stake in Intel in 2025, similar positions have been taken or agreed in firms such as USA Rare Earth, MP Materials, and U.S. Steel. This approach has set a precedent that traders interpret as likely to extend to additional semiconductor, quantum computing, and defense contractors before year-end. Polymarket pricing reflects elevated implied probabilities for GlobalFoundries, D-Wave, and Rigetti while assigning lower chances to larger names like Nvidia or Lockheed Martin, consistent with the administration's focus on targeted strategic sectors rather than broad interventions. No major legislative changes or new confirmation votes are scheduled that would immediately alter the framework.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$169,995結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has expanded a policy of acquiring direct equity stakes in companies viewed as critical to national security and supply chains, moving beyond grants or loans under the CHIPS Act and related programs. Following the Commerce Department's 10% stake in Intel in 2025, similar positions have been taken or agreed in firms such as USA Rare Earth, MP Materials, and U.S. Steel. This approach has set a precedent that traders interpret as likely to extend to additional semiconductor, quantum computing, and defense contractors before year-end. Polymarket pricing reflects elevated implied probabilities for GlobalFoundries, D-Wave, and Rigetti while assigning lower chances to larger names like Nvidia or Lockheed Martin, consistent with the administration's focus on targeted strategic sectors rather than broad interventions. No major legislative changes or new confirmation votes are scheduled that would immediately alter the framework.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions