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icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

12月 31

12月 31

$351,385 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$351,385 交易量

Polymarket

India

$61,829 交易量

22%

Taiwan

$32,488 交易量

13%

South Korea

$56,773 交易量

17%

Israel

$400 交易量

16%

Mexico

$2,705 交易量

14%

Indonesia

$19,079 交易量

14%

Vietnam

$5,614 交易量

14%

Canada

$2,846 交易量

13%

United Kingdom

$477 交易量

13%

South Africa

$409 交易量

11%

Australia

$6,127 交易量

13%

Pakistan

$104,802 交易量

10%

European Union

$13,088 交易量

10%

Japan

$16,922 交易量

9%

Russia

$2,045 交易量

9%

Brazil

$4,245 交易量

8%

Argentina

$21,537 交易量

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term trade strategy relies on broad tariff threats under authorities like IEEPA and Section 122 to accelerate bilateral negotiations, producing multiple framework agreements and reciprocal trade deals since early 2025. Completed or advanced pacts already cover the United Kingdom, Japan, the European Union, Indonesia, Argentina, South Korea, Vietnam, and others, often bundling tariff adjustments with purchase commitments, investment pledges, and sector-specific access in agriculture, autos, and critical minerals. Ongoing talks involve Canada and Mexico ahead of USMCA review, plus continued engagement with China and Taiwan. Upcoming catalysts include the June 2026 G7 summit and further bilateral meetings that could finalize additional frameworks before the 2027 cutoff. Trader assessments center on the administration’s emphasis on reducing deficits through enforceable, modifiable bilateral terms rather than multilateral structures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$351,385
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term trade strategy relies on broad tariff threats under authorities like IEEPA and Section 122 to accelerate bilateral negotiations, producing multiple framework agreements and reciprocal trade deals since early 2025. Completed or advanced pacts already cover the United Kingdom, Japan, the European Union, Indonesia, Argentina, South Korea, Vietnam, and others, often bundling tariff adjustments with purchase commitments, investment pledges, and sector-specific access in agriculture, autos, and critical minerals. Ongoing talks involve Canada and Mexico ahead of USMCA review, plus continued engagement with China and Taiwan. Upcoming catalysts include the June 2026 G7 summit and further bilateral meetings that could finalize additional frameworks before the 2027 cutoff. Trader assessments center on the administration’s emphasis on reducing deficits through enforceable, modifiable bilateral terms rather than multilateral structures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$351,385
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "India" at 22%, followed by "South Korea" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" has generated $351.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" is "India" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "South Korea" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.