**Avengers: Doomsday** edges ahead in trader sentiment at 55.5% implied probability for 2026’s biggest opening week, narrowly ahead of **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** at 45.5%, while the other titles sit at negligible levels. The primary driver is the MCU franchise scale and event status of an Avengers team-up film, which historically delivers massive presales and global reach compared with solo Spider-Man entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July has validated strong audience demand for the Tom Holland series, yet traders appear to price in even higher expectations for Doomsday’s December 18 release based on MCU precedent and holiday timing. Toy Story 5’s earlier June debut and the still-distant Hunger Games and Dune projects lack comparable tracking or cultural momentum to challenge the top two. Upcoming catalysts include further presale data and any marketing reveals that could shift the razor-thin contest before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 56%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 46%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$45,522 交易量
$45,522 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
56%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
46%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 56%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 46%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$45,522 交易量
$45,522 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
$7,036 交易量
56%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$7,654 交易量
46%
Toy Story 5
$2,665 交易量
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,279 交易量
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$2,742 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday** edges ahead in trader sentiment at 55.5% implied probability for 2026’s biggest opening week, narrowly ahead of **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** at 45.5%, while the other titles sit at negligible levels. The primary driver is the MCU franchise scale and event status of an Avengers team-up film, which historically delivers massive presales and global reach compared with solo Spider-Man entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July has validated strong audience demand for the Tom Holland series, yet traders appear to price in even higher expectations for Doomsday’s December 18 release based on MCU precedent and holiday timing. Toy Story 5’s earlier June debut and the still-distant Hunger Games and Dune projects lack comparable tracking or cultural momentum to challenge the top two. Upcoming catalysts include further presale data and any marketing reveals that could shift the razor-thin contest before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$45,522結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday** edges ahead in trader sentiment at 55.5% implied probability for 2026’s biggest opening week, narrowly ahead of **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** at 45.5%, while the other titles sit at negligible levels. The primary driver is the MCU franchise scale and event status of an Avengers team-up film, which historically delivers massive presales and global reach compared with solo Spider-Man entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July has validated strong audience demand for the Tom Holland series, yet traders appear to price in even higher expectations for Doomsday’s December 18 release based on MCU precedent and holiday timing. Toy Story 5’s earlier June debut and the still-distant Hunger Games and Dune projects lack comparable tracking or cultural momentum to challenge the top two. Upcoming catalysts include further presale data and any marketing reveals that could shift the razor-thin contest before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$45,522結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday** edges ahead in trader sentiment at 55.5% implied probability for 2026’s biggest opening week, narrowly ahead of **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** at 45.5%, while the other titles sit at negligible levels. The primary driver is the MCU franchise scale and event status of an Avengers team-up film, which historically delivers massive presales and global reach compared with solo Spider-Man entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July has validated strong audience demand for the Tom Holland series, yet traders appear to price in even higher expectations for Doomsday’s December 18 release based on MCU precedent and holiday timing. Toy Story 5’s earlier June debut and the still-distant Hunger Games and Dune projects lack comparable tracking or cultural momentum to challenge the top two. Upcoming catalysts include further presale data and any marketing reveals that could shift the razor-thin contest before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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