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政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

icon for 誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？
政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

$1,054,163 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,054,163 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 加文·紐森

加文·紐森

$72,216 交易量

14%

icon for 伊萬卡·川普

伊萬卡·川普

$34,688 交易量

13%

icon for 塔克·卡爾森

塔克·卡爾森

$27,133 交易量

13%

icon for 格雷琴·惠特默

格雷琴·惠特默

$3,316 交易量

20%

icon for 安迪·比希爾

安迪·比希爾

$19,290 交易量

11%

icon for 賀錦麗

賀錦麗

$54,920 交易量

11%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$12,721 交易量

10%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$14,511 交易量

10%

icon for 唐納·川普二世

唐納·川普二世

$7,284 交易量

15%

icon for 唐·萊蒙

唐·萊蒙

$1,867 交易量

9%

icon for 史蒂芬·A·史密斯

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$17,298 交易量

8%

icon for 馬克·凱利

馬克·凱利

$9,681 交易量

8%

icon for 馬特·蓋茨

馬特·蓋茨

$2,964 交易量

8%

icon for 瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$20,374 交易量

8%

icon for 拉斐爾·沃諾克

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$3,164 交易量

7%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$8,138 交易量

7%

icon for 亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$44,442 交易量

7%

icon for 布萊恩·坎普

布萊恩·坎普

$3,234 交易量

7%

icon for 史蒂夫·班農

史蒂夫·班農

$16,880 交易量

7%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$8,198 交易量

7%

icon for 唐納·川普

唐納·川普

$59,361 交易量

6%

icon for 泰德·克魯茲

泰德·克魯茲

$15,430 交易量

6%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$31,240 交易量

6%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,640 交易量

6%

icon for 格倫·楊金

格倫·楊金

$6,064 交易量

6%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$15,631 交易量

6%

icon for 馬可·魯比歐

馬可·魯比歐

$10,024 交易量

6%

icon for 蘭德·保羅

蘭德·保羅

$19,727 交易量

6%

icon for 馬克·庫班

馬克·庫班

$8,535 交易量

6%

icon for 喬治·克魯尼

喬治·克魯尼

$5,270 交易量

6%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$10,328 交易量

5%

icon for 羅伯特·F·甘迺迪（小）

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪（小）

$15,302 交易量

5%

icon for 妮基·黑利

妮基·黑利

$3,665 交易量

4%

icon for 吉娜·雷蒙多

吉娜·雷蒙多

$4,209 交易量

4%

icon for 克莉絲蒂·諾姆

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$19,834 交易量

4%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$25,590 交易量

4%

icon for 巨石強森

巨石強森

$10,852 交易量

4%

icon for 伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

$3,727 交易量

4%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$4,077 交易量

4%

icon for 杭特·拜登

杭特·拜登

$51,194 交易量

4%

icon for 喬恩·奧索夫

喬恩·奧索夫

$20,702 交易量

3%

icon for 喬恩·斯圖爾特

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$3,510 交易量

3%

icon for 勒布朗·詹姆斯

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$15,973 交易量

3%

icon for 邁克·彭斯

邁克·彭斯

$15,571 交易量

3%

icon for 羅恩·德桑蒂斯

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$2,426 交易量

3%

icon for 韋斯·摩爾

韋斯·摩爾

$6,880 交易量

3%

icon for 喬什·霍利

喬什·霍利

$8,029 交易量

3%

icon for 約翰·圖恩

約翰·圖恩

$4,805 交易量

3%

icon for 希拉蕊·柯林頓

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$14,005 交易量

3%

icon for 莉茲·切尼

莉茲·切尼

$2,844 交易量

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,349 交易量

3%

icon for 伊隆·馬斯克

伊隆·馬斯克

$9,352 交易量

2%

icon for 貝托·奧羅克

貝托·奧羅克

$9,894 交易量

2%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,152 交易量

2%

icon for 金·卡戴珊

金·卡戴珊

$6,582 交易量

2%

icon for 圖爾西·加巴德

圖爾西·加巴德

$6,428 交易量

2%

icon for 米歇爾·歐巴馬

米歇爾·歐巴馬

$14,402 交易量

2%

icon for 蒂姆·沃爾茲

蒂姆·沃爾茲

$5,834 交易量

2%

icon for 拜倫·唐納茲

拜倫·唐納茲

$10,193 交易量

2%

icon for 巴拉克·歐巴馬

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$10,886 交易量

2%

icon for 菲爾·墨菲

菲爾·墨菲

$3,837 交易量

2%

icon for 莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$7,874 交易量

2%

icon for 伯尼·桑德斯

伯尼·桑德斯

$3,419 交易量

2%

icon for 賈里德·波利斯

賈里德·波利斯

$6,153 交易量

1%

icon for 羅伊·庫珀

羅伊·庫珀

$6,769 交易量

1%

icon for 歐普拉·溫芙蕾

歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$16,655 交易量

1%

icon for 約翰·費特曼

約翰·費特曼

$7,045 交易量

1%

icon for 凱蒂·布里特

凱蒂·布里特

$26,065 交易量

1%

icon for 切爾西·克林頓

切爾西·克林頓

$13,431 交易量

1%

icon for 湯姆·布雷迪

湯姆·布雷迪

$9,673 交易量

1%

icon for 安德魯·楊

安德魯·楊

$14,405 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders across both parties continue positioning through exploratory activity, fundraising networks, and media appearances without major formal announcements as of mid-2026. Ballotpedia notes no noteworthy campaign launches yet, consistent with prior cycles where prominent bids typically followed midterms. Democrats advanced initial 2028 primary calendar discussions in July, while numerous minor-party and independent filings have occurred via the FEC. Trader consensus on early announcements before 2027 likely hinges on post-November 2026 midterm results, national polling shifts among figures such as JD Vance or Pete Buttigieg, and any exploratory committee formations that could precede official declarations. Structural factors include term limits for the sitting president and the compressed timeline for primary calendar finalization.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,054,163
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders across both parties continue positioning through exploratory activity, fundraising networks, and media appearances without major formal announcements as of mid-2026. Ballotpedia notes no noteworthy campaign launches yet, consistent with prior cycles where prominent bids typically followed midterms. Democrats advanced initial 2028 primary calendar discussions in July, while numerous minor-party and independent filings have occurred via the FEC. Trader consensus on early announcements before 2027 likely hinges on post-November 2026 midterm results, national polling shifts among figures such as JD Vance or Pete Buttigieg, and any exploratory committee formations that could precede official declarations. Structural factors include term limits for the sitting president and the compressed timeline for primary calendar finalization.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,054,163
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "格雷琴·惠特默" at 20%, followed by "唐納·川普二世" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is "格雷琴·惠特默" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "唐納·川普二世" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.