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政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

icon for 誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？
政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

$1,034,633 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,034,633 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 塔克·卡爾森

塔克·卡爾森

$26,376 交易量

13%

icon for 賀錦麗

賀錦麗

$54,888 交易量

11%

icon for 加文·紐森

加文·紐森

$65,823 交易量

11%

icon for 安迪·比希爾

安迪·比希爾

$19,060 交易量

11%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$12,491 交易量

10%

icon for 馬克·凱利

馬克·凱利

$9,282 交易量

10%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$29,704 交易量

10%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$14,491 交易量

10%

icon for 唐·萊蒙

唐·萊蒙

$1,866 交易量

9%

icon for 泰德·克魯茲

泰德·克魯茲

$14,992 交易量

9%

icon for 史蒂芬·A·史密斯

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$17,234 交易量

9%

icon for 瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$20,317 交易量

9%

icon for 拉斐爾·沃諾克

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$2,949 交易量

8%

icon for 馬特·蓋茨

馬特·蓋茨

$2,964 交易量

8%

icon for 妮基·黑利

妮基·黑利

$3,665 交易量

7%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$8,105 交易量

7%

icon for 亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$42,706 交易量

7%

icon for 格雷琴·惠特默

格雷琴·惠特默

$1,837 交易量

7%

icon for 布萊恩·坎普

布萊恩·坎普

$3,234 交易量

7%

icon for 史蒂夫·班農

史蒂夫·班農

$16,880 交易量

7%

icon for 唐納·川普

唐納·川普

$58,875 交易量

6%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,624 交易量

6%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$8,198 交易量

6%

icon for 馬可·魯比歐

馬可·魯比歐

$9,863 交易量

6%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$15,584 交易量

6%

icon for 蘭德·保羅

蘭德·保羅

$19,727 交易量

6%

icon for 馬克·庫班

馬克·庫班

$8,516 交易量

6%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,699 交易量

6%

icon for 喬治·克魯尼

喬治·克魯尼

$5,270 交易量

6%

icon for 格倫·楊金

格倫·楊金

$6,055 交易量

5%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$23,981 交易量

5%

icon for 唐納·川普二世

唐納·川普二世

$5,603 交易量

5%

icon for 羅伯特·F·甘迺迪（小）

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪（小）

$15,302 交易量

5%

icon for 克莉絲蒂·諾姆

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$19,834 交易量

4%

icon for 吉娜·雷蒙多

吉娜·雷蒙多

$4,204 交易量

4%

icon for 伊萬卡·川普

伊萬卡·川普

$33,823 交易量

4%

icon for 杭特·拜登

杭特·拜登

$51,194 交易量

4%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$4,062 交易量

4%

icon for 喬恩·斯圖爾特

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$3,510 交易量

3%

icon for 喬恩·奧索夫

喬恩·奧索夫

$20,618 交易量

3%

icon for 韋斯·摩爾

韋斯·摩爾

$6,880 交易量

3%

icon for 邁克·彭斯

邁克·彭斯

$15,571 交易量

3%

icon for 希拉蕊·柯林頓

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$14,005 交易量

3%

icon for 羅恩·德桑蒂斯

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$2,399 交易量

3%

icon for 喬什·霍利

喬什·霍利

$8,018 交易量

3%

icon for 伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

$3,727 交易量

3%

icon for 莉茲·切尼

莉茲·切尼

$2,844 交易量

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,349 交易量

3%

icon for 約翰·圖恩

約翰·圖恩

$4,805 交易量

2%

icon for 伊隆·馬斯克

伊隆·馬斯克

$9,352 交易量

2%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,152 交易量

2%

icon for 圖爾西·加巴德

圖爾西·加巴德

$6,428 交易量

2%

icon for 金·卡戴珊

金·卡戴珊

$6,582 交易量

2%

icon for 巴拉克·歐巴馬

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$10,866 交易量

2%

icon for 貝托·奧羅克

貝托·奧羅克

$9,894 交易量

2%

icon for 拜倫·唐納茲

拜倫·唐納茲

$10,193 交易量

2%

icon for 勒布朗·詹姆斯

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$15,973 交易量

2%

icon for 菲爾·墨菲

菲爾·墨菲

$3,837 交易量

2%

icon for 蒂姆·沃爾茲

蒂姆·沃爾茲

$5,834 交易量

2%

icon for 賈里德·波利斯

賈里德·波利斯

$6,153 交易量

2%

icon for 湯姆·布雷迪

湯姆·布雷迪

$9,673 交易量

1%

icon for 米歇爾·歐巴馬

米歇爾·歐巴馬

$14,402 交易量

1%

icon for 凱蒂·布里特

凱蒂·布里特

$26,010 交易量

1%

icon for 莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$7,874 交易量

1%

icon for 約翰·費特曼

約翰·費特曼

$7,045 交易量

1%

icon for 羅伊·庫珀

羅伊·庫珀

$6,669 交易量

1%

icon for 切爾西·克林頓

切爾西·克林頓

$13,431 交易量

1%

icon for 巨石強森

巨石強森

$10,852 交易量

1%

icon for 伯尼·桑德斯

伯尼·桑德斯

$3,419 交易量

1%

icon for 安德魯·楊

安德魯·楊

$14,405 交易量

1%

icon for 歐普拉·溫芙蕾

歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$16,586 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major-party contenders have launched formal 2028 presidential campaigns, leaving trader sentiment shaped by positioning rather than confirmed announcements. Democrats continue debating their primary calendar, with an early window vote possible soon, while Republicans focus on Vice President JD Vance's frontrunner status and intra-party dynamics involving figures like Marco Rubio. Minor FEC filings exist, yet historical patterns show most viable candidates delay declarations until after November 2026 midterms. Potential Democratic names such as Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, and Pete Buttigieg, alongside Republican prospects, are testing waters through fundraising and visibility but face structural incentives to wait. Late-breaking shifts in polling, endorsements, or midterm results could accelerate timelines before the 2027 threshold.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,034,633
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major-party contenders have launched formal 2028 presidential campaigns, leaving trader sentiment shaped by positioning rather than confirmed announcements. Democrats continue debating their primary calendar, with an early window vote possible soon, while Republicans focus on Vice President JD Vance's frontrunner status and intra-party dynamics involving figures like Marco Rubio. Minor FEC filings exist, yet historical patterns show most viable candidates delay declarations until after November 2026 midterms. Potential Democratic names such as Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, and Pete Buttigieg, alongside Republican prospects, are testing waters through fundraising and visibility but face structural incentives to wait. Late-breaking shifts in polling, endorsements, or midterm results could accelerate timelines before the 2027 threshold.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,034,633
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "塔克·卡爾森" at 13%, followed by "賀錦麗" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is "塔克·卡爾森" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "賀錦麗" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.