Iran has issued repeated threats to exit the NPT and seen parliamentary bills introduced in response to 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes and sanctions disputes, yet it has taken no formal withdrawal steps as of mid-2026. Tehran submitted working papers and engaged in the April-May 2026 NPT Review Conference, signaling ongoing commitment to the treaty framework and IAEA safeguards processes. Analysts note that withdrawal would forfeit Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear cooperation while offering limited immediate gains amid ongoing diplomatic channels and verification requirements. With no new legislative passage or official notification to the UN in recent months, trader consensus reflects these structural and procedural barriers to rapid exit before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
9% 機率
$359,118 交易量
$359,118 交易量
2026-12-31
是
9% 機率
$359,118 交易量
$359,118 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has issued repeated threats to exit the NPT and seen parliamentary bills introduced in response to 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes and sanctions disputes, yet it has taken no formal withdrawal steps as of mid-2026. Tehran submitted working papers and engaged in the April-May 2026 NPT Review Conference, signaling ongoing commitment to the treaty framework and IAEA safeguards processes. Analysts note that withdrawal would forfeit Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear cooperation while offering limited immediate gains amid ongoing diplomatic channels and verification requirements. With no new legislative passage or official notification to the UN in recent months, trader consensus reflects these structural and procedural barriers to rapid exit before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
交易量
$359,118結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has issued repeated threats to exit the NPT and seen parliamentary bills introduced in response to 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes and sanctions disputes, yet it has taken no formal withdrawal steps as of mid-2026. Tehran submitted working papers and engaged in the April-May 2026 NPT Review Conference, signaling ongoing commitment to the treaty framework and IAEA safeguards processes. Analysts note that withdrawal would forfeit Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear cooperation while offering limited immediate gains amid ongoing diplomatic channels and verification requirements. With no new legislative passage or official notification to the UN in recent months, trader consensus reflects these structural and procedural barriers to rapid exit before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$359,118結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran has issued repeated threats to exit the NPT and seen parliamentary bills introduced in response to 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes and sanctions disputes, yet it has taken no formal withdrawal steps as of mid-2026. Tehran submitted working papers and engaged in the April-May 2026 NPT Review Conference, signaling ongoing commitment to the treaty framework and IAEA safeguards processes. Analysts note that withdrawal would forfeit Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear cooperation while offering limited immediate gains amid ongoing diplomatic channels and verification requirements. With no new legislative passage or official notification to the UN in recent months, trader consensus reflects these structural and procedural barriers to rapid exit before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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