Governor Kathy Hochul’s consistent opposition to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s proposed two-percentage-point income-tax increase on earners above $1 million has shaped trader expectations for the measure. The proposal, intended to close a roughly $5.4 billion city budget gap and fund expanded services, requires state legislative approval and gubernatorial support to take effect before 2027. Recent state budget negotiations instead advanced a pied-à-terre tax on luxury second homes valued above $5 million, projected to raise about $500 million annually, while sidelining the broader income-tax surcharge. Democratic lawmakers introduced related bills in March 2026, yet the enacted fiscal framework reflects Hochul’s preference for narrower levies amid concerns over resident and business retention. With no enacted authority for the full millionaire tax as of mid-May 2026 and the 2027 deadline approaching, traders assign the outcome a low probability of passage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$58,477 交易量
$58,477 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$58,477 交易量
$58,477 交易量
2026-12-31
Zohran Mamdani has proposed adding a flat 2% tax on New York City residents earning above $1,000,000 annually. You can read more about that here: https://drive.google.com/file/d/14-aM9DKG337SDMilmfQtLRR-pDwyWSTc/view
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a tax increase of 2% or more targeting individuals, households, or family units with an income of at least $1 million (USD or equivalent).
When the proposed tax goes into effect (e.g., if a qualifying tax is enacted for the 2028 fiscal year) will have no bearing on this market's resolution, so long as the policy has actually been enacted within this market's timeframe.
The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated tax into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for specific families, asset classes, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general tax as described is enacted.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Governor Kathy Hochul’s consistent opposition to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s proposed two-percentage-point income-tax increase on earners above $1 million has shaped trader expectations for the measure. The proposal, intended to close a roughly $5.4 billion city budget gap and fund expanded services, requires state legislative approval and gubernatorial support to take effect before 2027. Recent state budget negotiations instead advanced a pied-à-terre tax on luxury second homes valued above $5 million, projected to raise about $500 million annually, while sidelining the broader income-tax surcharge. Democratic lawmakers introduced related bills in March 2026, yet the enacted fiscal framework reflects Hochul’s preference for narrower levies amid concerns over resident and business retention. With no enacted authority for the full millionaire tax as of mid-May 2026 and the 2027 deadline approaching, traders assign the outcome a low probability of passage.
Zohran Mamdani has proposed adding a flat 2% tax on New York City residents earning above $1,000,000 annually. You can read more about that here: https://drive.google.com/file/d/14-aM9DKG337SDMilmfQtLRR-pDwyWSTc/view
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a tax increase of 2% or more targeting individuals, households, or family units with an income of at least $1 million (USD or equivalent).
When the proposed tax goes into effect (e.g., if a qualifying tax is enacted for the 2028 fiscal year) will have no bearing on this market's resolution, so long as the policy has actually been enacted within this market's timeframe.
The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated tax into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for specific families, asset classes, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general tax as described is enacted.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a tax increase of 2% or more targeting individuals, households, or family units with an income of at least $1 million (USD or equivalent).
When the proposed tax goes into effect (e.g., if a qualifying tax is enacted for the 2028 fiscal year) will have no bearing on this market's resolution, so long as the policy has actually been enacted within this market's timeframe.
The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated tax into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for specific families, asset classes, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general tax as described is enacted.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 6:39 PM ET
交易量
$58,477結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zohran Mamdani has proposed adding a flat 2% tax on New York City residents earning above $1,000,000 annually. You can read more about that here: https://drive.google.com/file/d/14-aM9DKG337SDMilmfQtLRR-pDwyWSTc/view
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a tax increase of 2% or more targeting individuals, households, or family units with an income of at least $1 million (USD or equivalent).
When the proposed tax goes into effect (e.g., if a qualifying tax is enacted for the 2028 fiscal year) will have no bearing on this market's resolution, so long as the policy has actually been enacted within this market's timeframe.
The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated tax into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for specific families, asset classes, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general tax as described is enacted.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Governor Kathy Hochul’s consistent opposition to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s proposed two-percentage-point income-tax increase on earners above $1 million has shaped trader expectations for the measure. The proposal, intended to close a roughly $5.4 billion city budget gap and fund expanded services, requires state legislative approval and gubernatorial support to take effect before 2027. Recent state budget negotiations instead advanced a pied-à-terre tax on luxury second homes valued above $5 million, projected to raise about $500 million annually, while sidelining the broader income-tax surcharge. Democratic lawmakers introduced related bills in March 2026, yet the enacted fiscal framework reflects Hochul’s preference for narrower levies amid concerns over resident and business retention. With no enacted authority for the full millionaire tax as of mid-May 2026 and the 2027 deadline approaching, traders assign the outcome a low probability of passage.
Zohran Mamdani has proposed adding a flat 2% tax on New York City residents earning above $1,000,000 annually. You can read more about that here: https://drive.google.com/file/d/14-aM9DKG337SDMilmfQtLRR-pDwyWSTc/view
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a tax increase of 2% or more targeting individuals, households, or family units with an income of at least $1 million (USD or equivalent).
When the proposed tax goes into effect (e.g., if a qualifying tax is enacted for the 2028 fiscal year) will have no bearing on this market's resolution, so long as the policy has actually been enacted within this market's timeframe.
The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated tax into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for specific families, asset classes, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general tax as described is enacted.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a tax increase of 2% or more targeting individuals, households, or family units with an income of at least $1 million (USD or equivalent).
When the proposed tax goes into effect (e.g., if a qualifying tax is enacted for the 2028 fiscal year) will have no bearing on this market's resolution, so long as the policy has actually been enacted within this market's timeframe.
The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated tax into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for specific families, asset classes, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general tax as described is enacted.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$58,477結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Governor Kathy Hochul’s consistent opposition to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s proposed two-percentage-point income-tax increase on earners above $1 million has shaped trader expectations for the measure. The proposal, intended to close a roughly $5.4 billion city budget gap and fund expanded services, requires state legislative approval and gubernatorial support to take effect before 2027. Recent state budget negotiations instead advanced a pied-à-terre tax on luxury second homes valued above $5 million, projected to raise about $500 million annually, while sidelining the broader income-tax surcharge. Democratic lawmakers introduced related bills in March 2026, yet the enacted fiscal framework reflects Hochul’s preference for narrower levies amid concerns over resident and business retention. With no enacted authority for the full millionaire tax as of mid-May 2026 and the 2027 deadline approaching, traders assign the outcome a low probability of passage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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