Ongoing state antitrust litigation represents the dominant factor behind the 77.9% market-implied odds against a 2026 close. After DOJ clearance in June 2026, a coalition of 12 states filed suit in July alleging reduced competition in film distribution and cable networks, prompting a temporary restraining order and a July 24 stipulation that bars closing until a court ruling or June 1, 2027, whichever comes first. Shareholder approval and federal regulatory sign-off have already occurred, yet the extended timeline and pending trial—scheduled as early as March 2027—create substantial barriers to resolution by year-end. Traders appear to weigh these legal hurdles and the explicit deadline shift more heavily than any remaining federal or international clearances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
22% 機率
$150,197 交易量
$150,197 交易量
2026-12-31
是
22% 機率
$150,197 交易量
$150,197 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Ongoing state antitrust litigation represents the dominant factor behind the 77.9% market-implied odds against a 2026 close. After DOJ clearance in June 2026, a coalition of 12 states filed suit in July alleging reduced competition in film distribution and cable networks, prompting a temporary restraining order and a July 24 stipulation that bars closing until a court ruling or June 1, 2027, whichever comes first. Shareholder approval and federal regulatory sign-off have already occurred, yet the extended timeline and pending trial—scheduled as early as March 2027—create substantial barriers to resolution by year-end. Traders appear to weigh these legal hurdles and the explicit deadline shift more heavily than any remaining federal or international clearances.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
市場開放時間： Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
交易量
$150,197結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Ongoing state antitrust litigation represents the dominant factor behind the 77.9% market-implied odds against a 2026 close. After DOJ clearance in June 2026, a coalition of 12 states filed suit in July alleging reduced competition in film distribution and cable networks, prompting a temporary restraining order and a July 24 stipulation that bars closing until a court ruling or June 1, 2027, whichever comes first. Shareholder approval and federal regulatory sign-off have already occurred, yet the extended timeline and pending trial—scheduled as early as March 2027—create substantial barriers to resolution by year-end. Traders appear to weigh these legal hurdles and the explicit deadline shift more heavily than any remaining federal or international clearances.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
交易量
$150,197結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing state antitrust litigation represents the dominant factor behind the 77.9% market-implied odds against a 2026 close. After DOJ clearance in June 2026, a coalition of 12 states filed suit in July alleging reduced competition in film distribution and cable networks, prompting a temporary restraining order and a July 24 stipulation that bars closing until a court ruling or June 1, 2027, whichever comes first. Shareholder approval and federal regulatory sign-off have already occurred, yet the extended timeline and pending trial—scheduled as early as March 2027—create substantial barriers to resolution by year-end. Traders appear to weigh these legal hurdles and the explicit deadline shift more heavily than any remaining federal or international clearances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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