Strong preview performance and presales momentum underpin the 77.5% market-implied odds for Spider-Man: Brand New Day surpassing Avengers: Endgame’s $357 million domestic opening weekend record. The film posted a record $72 million in early ticket sales through Wednesday, outpacing prior benchmarks and signaling exceptional front-loaded demand for Tom Holland’s latest outing. Industry tracking currently centers on a $260–300 million domestic debut, with some analysts eyeing potential upside above $300 million, though conservative studio estimates sit lower. Key swing factors include premium format availability, competition from other summer titles, and the absence of IMAX screens, which historically boost big openings. Traders appear to weigh the franchise’s proven draw and rapid sell-through against historical ceilings, positioning the market as a bet on whether word-of-mouth and final-weekend acceleration can close the gap to Endgame’s 2019 benchmark before opening weekend locks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》會擊敗《復仇者聯盟：終局之戰》的首週末紀錄嗎？
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》會擊敗《復仇者聯盟：終局之戰》的首週末紀錄嗎？
是
最新
最新
2026-08-02
是
最新
最新
2026-08-02
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong preview performance and presales momentum underpin the 77.5% market-implied odds for Spider-Man: Brand New Day surpassing Avengers: Endgame’s $357 million domestic opening weekend record. The film posted a record $72 million in early ticket sales through Wednesday, outpacing prior benchmarks and signaling exceptional front-loaded demand for Tom Holland’s latest outing. Industry tracking currently centers on a $260–300 million domestic debut, with some analysts eyeing potential upside above $300 million, though conservative studio estimates sit lower. Key swing factors include premium format availability, competition from other summer titles, and the absence of IMAX screens, which historically boost big openings. Traders appear to weigh the franchise’s proven draw and rapid sell-through against historical ceilings, positioning the market as a bet on whether word-of-mouth and final-weekend acceleration can close the gap to Endgame’s 2019 benchmark before opening weekend locks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,445結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong preview performance and presales momentum underpin the 77.5% market-implied odds for Spider-Man: Brand New Day surpassing Avengers: Endgame’s $357 million domestic opening weekend record. The film posted a record $72 million in early ticket sales through Wednesday, outpacing prior benchmarks and signaling exceptional front-loaded demand for Tom Holland’s latest outing. Industry tracking currently centers on a $260–300 million domestic debut, with some analysts eyeing potential upside above $300 million, though conservative studio estimates sit lower. Key swing factors include premium format availability, competition from other summer titles, and the absence of IMAX screens, which historically boost big openings. Traders appear to weigh the franchise’s proven draw and rapid sell-through against historical ceilings, positioning the market as a bet on whether word-of-mouth and final-weekend acceleration can close the gap to Endgame’s 2019 benchmark before opening weekend locks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$3,445結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong preview performance and presales momentum underpin the 77.5% market-implied odds for Spider-Man: Brand New Day surpassing Avengers: Endgame’s $357 million domestic opening weekend record. The film posted a record $72 million in early ticket sales through Wednesday, outpacing prior benchmarks and signaling exceptional front-loaded demand for Tom Holland’s latest outing. Industry tracking currently centers on a $260–300 million domestic debut, with some analysts eyeing potential upside above $300 million, though conservative studio estimates sit lower. Key swing factors include premium format availability, competition from other summer titles, and the absence of IMAX screens, which historically boost big openings. Traders appear to weigh the franchise’s proven draw and rapid sell-through against historical ceilings, positioning the market as a bet on whether word-of-mouth and final-weekend acceleration can close the gap to Endgame’s 2019 benchmark before opening weekend locks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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