The absence of any confirmed exhibition plans or institutional announcements continues to anchor trader sentiment toward a "No" outcome at 89.5% implied probability for the original Leonardo-attributed Salvator Mundi by year-end 2026. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman since its 2017 record sale, the work has remained out of public view for nearly nine years, stored privately following canceled loans to the Louvre Abu Dhabi and other venues. Saudi cultural initiatives under Vision 2030 envision the painting as a centerpiece for new museums in Riyadh or Al-Ula, yet construction timelines remain uncertain with no verified debut dates, loan agreements, or preparatory signals emerging from credible sources. Historical patterns of secrecy around high-value private holdings and the lack of guild-style precursors or media previews reinforce the market consensus, though a late official confirmation could still shift dynamics before the December 31 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
5% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
5% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.The absence of any confirmed exhibition plans or institutional announcements continues to anchor trader sentiment toward a "No" outcome at 89.5% implied probability for the original Leonardo-attributed Salvator Mundi by year-end 2026. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman since its 2017 record sale, the work has remained out of public view for nearly nine years, stored privately following canceled loans to the Louvre Abu Dhabi and other venues. Saudi cultural initiatives under Vision 2030 envision the painting as a centerpiece for new museums in Riyadh or Al-Ula, yet construction timelines remain uncertain with no verified debut dates, loan agreements, or preparatory signals emerging from credible sources. Historical patterns of secrecy around high-value private holdings and the lack of guild-style precursors or media previews reinforce the market consensus, though a late official confirmation could still shift dynamics before the December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
市場開放時間： May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$2,625結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.The absence of any confirmed exhibition plans or institutional announcements continues to anchor trader sentiment toward a "No" outcome at 89.5% implied probability for the original Leonardo-attributed Salvator Mundi by year-end 2026. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman since its 2017 record sale, the work has remained out of public view for nearly nine years, stored privately following canceled loans to the Louvre Abu Dhabi and other venues. Saudi cultural initiatives under Vision 2030 envision the painting as a centerpiece for new museums in Riyadh or Al-Ula, yet construction timelines remain uncertain with no verified debut dates, loan agreements, or preparatory signals emerging from credible sources. Historical patterns of secrecy around high-value private holdings and the lack of guild-style precursors or media previews reinforce the market consensus, though a late official confirmation could still shift dynamics before the December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
交易量
$2,625結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETThe absence of any confirmed exhibition plans or institutional announcements continues to anchor trader sentiment toward a "No" outcome at 89.5% implied probability for the original Leonardo-attributed Salvator Mundi by year-end 2026. Owned by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman since its 2017 record sale, the work has remained out of public view for nearly nine years, stored privately following canceled loans to the Louvre Abu Dhabi and other venues. Saudi cultural initiatives under Vision 2030 envision the painting as a centerpiece for new museums in Riyadh or Al-Ula, yet construction timelines remain uncertain with no verified debut dates, loan agreements, or preparatory signals emerging from credible sources. Historical patterns of secrecy around high-value private holdings and the lack of guild-style precursors or media previews reinforce the market consensus, though a late official confirmation could still shift dynamics before the December 31 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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