The four remaining teams—England, France, Spain, and Argentina—have produced a tightly bunched market for World Cup runner-up because any of them can realistically reach the final and fall short. England’s slight edge in trader pricing reflects strong recent form through the knockout rounds and a favorable path, yet the side still faces a high-stakes semifinal against Argentina. France and Spain, set to meet in the other semifinal, carry comparable implied probabilities given their elite rankings, deep squads, and proven ability to advance deep in major tournaments. Argentina’s lower price accounts for the difficult matchup against England plus the challenges of sustaining momentum after earlier rounds. With the bracket ensuring no repeat meetings until this stage and all four sides posting top FIFA rankings entering the event, small differences in form, rest, or tactical execution can shift who contests the July 19 final and ultimately finishes second.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於England 33%
Argentina 27%
Spain 21%
France 20%
最新
最新
2026-07-19
England
33%
Argentina
27%
Spain
21%
France
20%
England 33%
Argentina 27%
Spain 21%
France 20%
最新
最新
2026-07-19
England
$0 交易量
33%
Argentina
$0 交易量
27%
Spain
$0 交易量
21%
France
$73 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 2nd place (runner-up) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The four remaining teams—England, France, Spain, and Argentina—have produced a tightly bunched market for World Cup runner-up because any of them can realistically reach the final and fall short. England’s slight edge in trader pricing reflects strong recent form through the knockout rounds and a favorable path, yet the side still faces a high-stakes semifinal against Argentina. France and Spain, set to meet in the other semifinal, carry comparable implied probabilities given their elite rankings, deep squads, and proven ability to advance deep in major tournaments. Argentina’s lower price accounts for the difficult matchup against England plus the challenges of sustaining momentum after earlier rounds. With the bracket ensuring no repeat meetings until this stage and all four sides posting top FIFA rankings entering the event, small differences in form, rest, or tactical execution can shift who contests the July 19 final and ultimately finishes second.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 2nd place (runner-up) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 13, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
交易量
$73結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D... This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 2nd place (runner-up) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The four remaining teams—England, France, Spain, and Argentina—have produced a tightly bunched market for World Cup runner-up because any of them can realistically reach the final and fall short. England’s slight edge in trader pricing reflects strong recent form through the knockout rounds and a favorable path, yet the side still faces a high-stakes semifinal against Argentina. France and Spain, set to meet in the other semifinal, carry comparable implied probabilities given their elite rankings, deep squads, and proven ability to advance deep in major tournaments. Argentina’s lower price accounts for the difficult matchup against England plus the challenges of sustaining momentum after earlier rounds. With the bracket ensuring no repeat meetings until this stage and all four sides posting top FIFA rankings entering the event, small differences in form, rest, or tactical execution can shift who contests the July 19 final and ultimately finishes second.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 2nd place (runner-up) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$73結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The four remaining teams—England, France, Spain, and Argentina—have produced a tightly bunched market for World Cup runner-up because any of them can realistically reach the final and fall short. England’s slight edge in trader pricing reflects strong recent form through the knockout rounds and a favorable path, yet the side still faces a high-stakes semifinal against Argentina. France and Spain, set to meet in the other semifinal, carry comparable implied probabilities given their elite rankings, deep squads, and proven ability to advance deep in major tournaments. Argentina’s lower price accounts for the difficult matchup against England plus the challenges of sustaining momentum after earlier rounds. With the bracket ensuring no repeat meetings until this stage and all four sides posting top FIFA rankings entering the event, small differences in form, rest, or tactical execution can shift who contests the July 19 final and ultimately finishes second.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions