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運動·足球

世界盃決賽：球員對小姐的點球

icon for 世界盃決賽：球員對小姐的點球
運動·足球

世界盃決賽：球員對小姐的點球

最新
2026-07-19
Polymarket

$553 交易量

Polymarket

Juan Musso

$83 交易量

98%

Emiliano Martínez

$83 交易量

98%

Pedro Porro

$0 交易量

50%

Aymeric Laporte

$0 交易量

50%

Pau Cubarsí

$0 交易量

50%

Marc Cucurella

$0 交易量

50%

Mikel Merino

$0 交易量

50%

Fabián Ruiz

$0 交易量

50%

Gavi

$0 交易量

50%

Lamine Yamal

$0 交易量

50%

Enzo Fernández

$0 交易量

50%

Julián Álvarez

$0 交易量

50%

Marcos Llorente

$0 交易量

50%

Lionel Messi

$0 交易量

8%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$0 交易量

7%

Marcos Senesi

$0 交易量

5%

Leandro Paredes

$0 交易量

5%

Exequiel Palacios

$0 交易量

5%

Nico González

$0 交易量

5%

Lautaro Martínez

$0 交易量

5%

Álex Baena

$0 交易量

5%

Pedri

$0 交易量

5%

Ferran Torres

$0 交易量

5%

Yeremy Pino

$0 交易量

5%

Nico Williams

$0 交易量

5%

Víctor Muñoz

$0 交易量

5%

Borja Iglesias

$0 交易量

5%

Nicolás Tagliafico

$0 交易量

5%

Gonzalo Montiel

$0 交易量

5%

Lisandro Martínez

$0 交易量

5%

Cristian Romero

$0 交易量

5%

Nicolás Otamendi

$0 交易量

5%

Facundo Medina

$0 交易量

5%

Nahuel Molina

$0 交易量

5%

Valentín Barco

$0 交易量

5%

Giovani Lo Celso

$0 交易量

5%

Alexis Mac Allister

$0 交易量

5%

Thiago Almada

$0 交易量

5%

Nico Paz

$0 交易量

5%

Martín Zubimendi

$0 交易量

5%

Dani Olmo

$0 交易量

4%

Rodrigo De Paul

$84 交易量

3%

Marc Pubill

$0 交易量

3%

Álex Grimaldo

$0 交易量

3%

Eric García

$0 交易量

3%

Rodri

$137 交易量

3%

Giuliano Simeone

$0 交易量

3%

Unai Simón

$69 交易量

2%

David Raya

$19 交易量

2%

Joan García

$83 交易量

2%

Gerónimo Rulli

$78 交易量

2%

José Manuel López

$74 交易量

-

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No".

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$553
結束日期
2026-07-19
市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No".

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$553
結束日期
2026-07-19
市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"世界盃決賽：球員對小姐的點球" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 52+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pedro Porro" at 50%, followed by "Aymeric Laporte" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"世界盃決賽：球員對小姐的點球" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "世界盃決賽：球員對小姐的點球," browse the 52+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界盃決賽：球員對小姐的點球" is "Pedro Porro" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aymeric Laporte" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界盃決賽：球員對小姐的點球" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.