Trump's Truth Social activity typically averages around 18 posts daily or roughly 126 per week, based on 2025 data showing over 6,000 annual posts with frequent late-evening surges. The closely matched probabilities across 120-179 and 200+ bins reflect this baseline volatility, driven by news cycles, policy announcements, and occasional high-volume sessions exceeding 100 posts in hours. The recent Truth API launch for premium access has not altered posting patterns. A quiet stretch with minimal developments could cluster outcomes near 120-159, while breaking events such as legislative action, market moves, or international developments often trigger extended posting runs that push totals higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于200+ 20%
140-159 19%
160-179 16%
120-139 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
5%
100-119
11%
120-139
14%
140-159
19%
160-179
16%
180-199
9%
200+
20%
200+ 20%
140-159 19%
160-179 16%
120-139 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
<20
$759 交易量
<1%
20-39
$217 交易量
<1%
40-59
$149 交易量
1%
60-79
$251 交易量
1%
80-99
$487 交易量
5%
100-119
$575 交易量
11%
120-139
$416 交易量
14%
140-159
$474 交易量
19%
160-179
$988 交易量
16%
180-199
$556 交易量
9%
200+
$818 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity typically averages around 18 posts daily or roughly 126 per week, based on 2025 data showing over 6,000 annual posts with frequent late-evening surges. The closely matched probabilities across 120-179 and 200+ bins reflect this baseline volatility, driven by news cycles, policy announcements, and occasional high-volume sessions exceeding 100 posts in hours. The recent Truth API launch for premium access has not altered posting patterns. A quiet stretch with minimal developments could cluster outcomes near 120-159, while breaking events such as legislative action, market moves, or international developments often trigger extended posting runs that push totals higher.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$5,689结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity typically averages around 18 posts daily or roughly 126 per week, based on 2025 data showing over 6,000 annual posts with frequent late-evening surges. The closely matched probabilities across 120-179 and 200+ bins reflect this baseline volatility, driven by news cycles, policy announcements, and occasional high-volume sessions exceeding 100 posts in hours. The recent Truth API launch for premium access has not altered posting patterns. A quiet stretch with minimal developments could cluster outcomes near 120-159, while breaking events such as legislative action, market moves, or international developments often trigger extended posting runs that push totals higher.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$5,689结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTrump's Truth Social activity typically averages around 18 posts daily or roughly 126 per week, based on 2025 data showing over 6,000 annual posts with frequent late-evening surges. The closely matched probabilities across 120-179 and 200+ bins reflect this baseline volatility, driven by news cycles, policy announcements, and occasional high-volume sessions exceeding 100 posts in hours. The recent Truth API launch for premium access has not altered posting patterns. A quiet stretch with minimal developments could cluster outcomes near 120-159, while breaking events such as legislative action, market moves, or international developments often trigger extended posting runs that push totals higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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