Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, driven by Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates plus real-time commentary, anchors trader expectations for the August 6–8 window. Recent activity shows steady but not accelerated output, with multiple original posts, quotes, and reposts already logged on the 6th amid routine company milestones and replies to industry news. No major product launches, regulatory shifts, or viral controversies have emerged in the past 48 hours to push volume into higher brackets. Historical patterns in low-news stretches favor the 40–64 range as the market’s clearest consensus, while the thinner odds on 65–89 reflect the modest upside risk if Musk engages more deeply with ongoing AI or energy-storage developments before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 48%
65-89 28%
少于40 16%
90-114 8%
$44,884 交易量
$44,884 交易量
2026-08-08
少于40
16%
40-64
48%
65-89
28%
90-114
8%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
65-89 28%
少于40 16%
90-114 8%
$44,884 交易量
$44,884 交易量
2026-08-08
少于40
$6,482 交易量
16%
40-64
$4,408 交易量
48%
65-89
$2,932 交易量
28%
90-114
$4,410 交易量
8%
115-139
$6,411 交易量
2%
140-164
$8,595 交易量
<1%
165-189
$2,210 交易量
<1%
190-214
$5,734 交易量
<1%
215-239
$1,771 交易量
<1%
240+
$1,931 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, driven by Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates plus real-time commentary, anchors trader expectations for the August 6–8 window. Recent activity shows steady but not accelerated output, with multiple original posts, quotes, and reposts already logged on the 6th amid routine company milestones and replies to industry news. No major product launches, regulatory shifts, or viral controversies have emerged in the past 48 hours to push volume into higher brackets. Historical patterns in low-news stretches favor the 40–64 range as the market’s clearest consensus, while the thinner odds on 65–89 reflect the modest upside risk if Musk engages more deeply with ongoing AI or energy-storage developments before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$44,884结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, driven by Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates plus real-time commentary, anchors trader expectations for the August 6–8 window. Recent activity shows steady but not accelerated output, with multiple original posts, quotes, and reposts already logged on the 6th amid routine company milestones and replies to industry news. No major product launches, regulatory shifts, or viral controversies have emerged in the past 48 hours to push volume into higher brackets. Historical patterns in low-news stretches favor the 40–64 range as the market’s clearest consensus, while the thinner odds on 65–89 reflect the modest upside risk if Musk engages more deeply with ongoing AI or energy-storage developments before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$44,884结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, driven by Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI updates plus real-time commentary, anchors trader expectations for the August 6–8 window. Recent activity shows steady but not accelerated output, with multiple original posts, quotes, and reposts already logged on the 6th amid routine company milestones and replies to industry news. No major product launches, regulatory shifts, or viral controversies have emerged in the past 48 hours to push volume into higher brackets. Historical patterns in low-news stretches favor the 40–64 range as the market’s clearest consensus, while the thinner odds on 65–89 reflect the modest upside risk if Musk engages more deeply with ongoing AI or energy-storage developments before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题