Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend has locked in overwhelming market consensus for a second-weekend gross under $180 million. Massive first-week momentum, including the fastest path to $500 million domestically in history and sustained daily records, reflects blockbuster audience demand and strong reviews, yet typical superhero sequel drops of 50 percent or more from such elevated starts make anything above $150 million a tall order. Positive word-of-mouth, Tom Holland's star power, and premium format holds provide some cushion against steeper declines, but the scale of the debut and limited counterprogramming mean an upset into higher brackets would require an unprecedented hold that defies recent franchise patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 99.6%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元 <1%
190-200m <1%
2亿-2.1亿美元 <1%
$58,184 交易量
$58,184 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
100%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元
<1%
190-200m
<1%
2亿-2.1亿美元
<1%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元
<1%
2.2亿+
<1%
<180m 99.6%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元 <1%
190-200m <1%
2亿-2.1亿美元 <1%
$58,184 交易量
$58,184 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
$38,806 交易量
100%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元
$5,434 交易量
<1%
190-200m
$4,010 交易量
<1%
2亿-2.1亿美元
$1,936 交易量
<1%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元
$3,503 交易量
<1%
2.2亿+
$4,495 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend has locked in overwhelming market consensus for a second-weekend gross under $180 million. Massive first-week momentum, including the fastest path to $500 million domestically in history and sustained daily records, reflects blockbuster audience demand and strong reviews, yet typical superhero sequel drops of 50 percent or more from such elevated starts make anything above $150 million a tall order. Positive word-of-mouth, Tom Holland's star power, and premium format holds provide some cushion against steeper declines, but the scale of the debut and limited counterprogramming mean an upset into higher brackets would require an unprecedented hold that defies recent franchise patterns.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$58,184结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend has locked in overwhelming market consensus for a second-weekend gross under $180 million. Massive first-week momentum, including the fastest path to $500 million domestically in history and sustained daily records, reflects blockbuster audience demand and strong reviews, yet typical superhero sequel drops of 50 percent or more from such elevated starts make anything above $150 million a tall order. Positive word-of-mouth, Tom Holland's star power, and premium format holds provide some cushion against steeper declines, but the scale of the debut and limited counterprogramming mean an upset into higher brackets would require an unprecedented hold that defies recent franchise patterns.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$58,184结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend has locked in overwhelming market consensus for a second-weekend gross under $180 million. Massive first-week momentum, including the fastest path to $500 million domestically in history and sustained daily records, reflects blockbuster audience demand and strong reviews, yet typical superhero sequel drops of 50 percent or more from such elevated starts make anything above $150 million a tall order. Positive word-of-mouth, Tom Holland's star power, and premium format holds provide some cushion against steeper declines, but the scale of the debut and limited counterprogramming mean an upset into higher brackets would require an unprecedented hold that defies recent franchise patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题