Elon Musk's tweet volume for the week of August 7-14, 2026, shows a tightly bunched market where the 200-219 range holds the highest implied probability at 17.5%, followed closely by 180-199 and 220-239 at 16.5% each. This distribution reflects trader assessment of Musk's baseline posting cadence on X, shaped by his typical mix of Tesla and SpaceX updates, political commentary, and real-time reactions rather than any singular breaking catalyst in the past week. Without confirmed major announcements or schedule disruptions on the immediate horizon, the spread highlights uncertainty around daily fluctuations driven by engagement spikes or quieter periods. Upcoming platform metrics or high-profile news cycles could shift the bins, underscoring how quickly momentum in celebrity-driven social media activity can evolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 17%
240-259 15%
$56,973 交易量
$56,973 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
6%
160-179
10%
180-199
17%
200-219
18%
220-239
17%
240-259
15%
260-279
9%
280-299
6%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 17%
240-259 15%
$56,973 交易量
$56,973 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
6%
160-179
10%
180-199
17%
200-219
18%
220-239
17%
240-259
15%
260-279
9%
280-299
6%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's tweet volume for the week of August 7-14, 2026, shows a tightly bunched market where the 200-219 range holds the highest implied probability at 17.5%, followed closely by 180-199 and 220-239 at 16.5% each. This distribution reflects trader assessment of Musk's baseline posting cadence on X, shaped by his typical mix of Tesla and SpaceX updates, political commentary, and real-time reactions rather than any singular breaking catalyst in the past week. Without confirmed major announcements or schedule disruptions on the immediate horizon, the spread highlights uncertainty around daily fluctuations driven by engagement spikes or quieter periods. Upcoming platform metrics or high-profile news cycles could shift the bins, underscoring how quickly momentum in celebrity-driven social media activity can evolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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