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icon for 特朗普在拉斯维加斯的讲话将持续多久?

特朗普在拉斯维加斯的讲话将持续多久?

icon for 特朗普在拉斯维加斯的讲话将持续多久?

特朗普在拉斯维加斯的讲话将持续多久?

40-50分钟 29%

60-70分钟 19%

50-60分钟 18%

70-80分钟 18%

Polymarket
最新

40-50分钟 29%

60-70分钟 19%

50-60分钟 18%

70-80分钟 18%

Polymarket
最新

少于20分钟

$198 交易量

5%

20-30分钟

$178 交易量

4%

30-40分钟

$178 交易量

8%

40-50分钟

$1,364 交易量

18%

50-60分钟

$153 交易量

18%

60-70分钟

$208 交易量

19%

70-80分钟

$236 交易量

18%

80分钟以上

$148 交易量

16%

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.President Trump’s upcoming remarks at the Red Rock Resort in Las Vegas on August 5, focused on tax relief measures including no-tax-on-tips policy and broader economic themes, reflect a standard format for administration events highlighting worker benefits and Republican legislative priorities. Historical precedents from similar April 2026 Las Vegas roundtables, which ran 44–49 minutes, anchor trader expectations around the 50–70 minute range, where the tightest probabilities cluster. The closely matched outcomes stem from uncertainty over whether the session will include extended Q&A with local workers, deviations into campaign-style digressions, or strict adherence to prepared economic messaging. Scheduled start at 1:30 p.m. PT and the event’s emphasis on policy delivery rather than a full rally limit extreme outliers, though late adjustments to the agenda, audience interaction levels, or external news could shift volume toward shorter or longer bins.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy).

This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.

The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$2,664
结束日期
2026-08-05
市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.President Trump’s upcoming remarks at the Red Rock Resort in Las Vegas on August 5, focused on tax relief measures including no-tax-on-tips policy and broader economic themes, reflect a standard format for administration events highlighting worker benefits and Republican legislative priorities. Historical precedents from similar April 2026 Las Vegas roundtables, which ran 44–49 minutes, anchor trader expectations around the 50–70 minute range, where the tightest probabilities cluster. The closely matched outcomes stem from uncertainty over whether the session will include extended Q&A with local workers, deviations into campaign-style digressions, or strict adherence to prepared economic messaging. Scheduled start at 1:30 p.m. PT and the event’s emphasis on policy delivery rather than a full rally limit extreme outliers, though late adjustments to the agenda, audience interaction levels, or external news could shift volume toward shorter or longer bins.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy).

This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.

The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$2,664
结束日期
2026-08-05
市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普在拉斯维加斯的讲话将持续多久?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"60-70分钟",概率为 19%,其次是"40-50分钟",概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 19¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 19%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特朗普在拉斯维加斯的讲话将持续多久?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 3, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特朗普在拉斯维加斯的讲话将持续多久?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普在拉斯维加斯的讲话将持续多久?"的当前领先者是"60-70分钟",概率为 19%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 19%。紧随其后的结果是"40-50分钟",概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普在拉斯维加斯的讲话将持续多久?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。