President Trump’s upcoming remarks at the Red Rock Resort in Las Vegas on August 5, focused on tax relief measures including no-tax-on-tips policy and broader economic themes, reflect a standard format for administration events highlighting worker benefits and Republican legislative priorities. Historical precedents from similar April 2026 Las Vegas roundtables, which ran 44–49 minutes, anchor trader expectations around the 50–70 minute range, where the tightest probabilities cluster. The closely matched outcomes stem from uncertainty over whether the session will include extended Q&A with local workers, deviations into campaign-style digressions, or strict adherence to prepared economic messaging. Scheduled start at 1:30 p.m. PT and the event’s emphasis on policy delivery rather than a full rally limit extreme outliers, though late adjustments to the agenda, audience interaction levels, or external news could shift volume toward shorter or longer bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-50分钟 29%
60-70分钟 19%
50-60分钟 18%
70-80分钟 18%
少于20分钟
5%
20-30分钟
4%
30-40分钟
8%
40-50分钟
18%
50-60分钟
18%
60-70分钟
19%
70-80分钟
18%
80分钟以上
16%
40-50分钟 29%
60-70分钟 19%
50-60分钟 18%
70-80分钟 18%
少于20分钟
5%
20-30分钟
4%
30-40分钟
8%
40-50分钟
18%
50-60分钟
18%
60-70分钟
19%
70-80分钟
18%
80分钟以上
16%
This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump’s upcoming remarks at the Red Rock Resort in Las Vegas on August 5, focused on tax relief measures including no-tax-on-tips policy and broader economic themes, reflect a standard format for administration events highlighting worker benefits and Republican legislative priorities. Historical precedents from similar April 2026 Las Vegas roundtables, which ran 44–49 minutes, anchor trader expectations around the 50–70 minute range, where the tightest probabilities cluster. The closely matched outcomes stem from uncertainty over whether the session will include extended Q&A with local workers, deviations into campaign-style digressions, or strict adherence to prepared economic messaging. Scheduled start at 1:30 p.m. PT and the event’s emphasis on policy delivery rather than a full rally limit extreme outliers, though late adjustments to the agenda, audience interaction levels, or external news could shift volume toward shorter or longer bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题